Stats and Avoidance

By | March 11, 2019

How to know if you’re booked on a 737 MAX 8.

Pertinent info is at the bottom of the article.

I am not very good at math, so take this as you will, but going by the in-service time and crash rate vs. the in-service time and crash rate of other similar jets, your chance of death on a 737 MAX 8 is somewhere around 1,000 times (yep, 1,000x) higher than any other modern passenger aircraft.

Aircraft these days, however, are remarkably safe so even an increase of chance of mortality by 1,000x means that your chance of death even flying once in the 737 MAX 8 is still only around 0.01% or 1/100th of one percent (I am assuming a 100% percent death rate here, which is what has occurred so far with this particular plane). That is 0.0001 in decimal form for clarity.

Note that two crashes of the same jet isn’t really enough to establish any sort of statistical validity, etc., this was a just for (morbid) fun calculation.