Incellent

This is mostly wrong and bad advice. Though there is very little actual advice here.

The thing is, incels are substantially correct about their — and most men’s — disadvantages in the dating market. The majority of women really do attempt to date the top 10% of men nearly-exclusively, and unhappily settle for less when they turn out not to be at that tier themselves. Men really do risk life-altering consequences for making even a polite approach. I could go on. But suffice it to say, incels diagnose their own and society’s problems fairly accurately. Also, Noah’s data in his piece is very misleading, and designed to be so. Some of it just plain wrong.

We’ll ignore that for now. However, along with the incels being correct about their problems their noxious beliefs about what they should do in response follow. And those are farcically bad. Their suggested remedies will not help them, society, or anyone. It will only further embitter them and cause yet more ostracism.

Another impediment to proceptivity is the fear of rejection. In American culture, men are expected to take the lead romantically, and this means theyโ€™ll often end up getting rejected. A lot of guys are so scared of this rejection that they dread even trying to date in the first place.

The risk of nuclear rejection now is too high. Many women go ape on you just for asking them out these days. No guy wants their entire life destroyed because they asked some overentitled prick of a woman out for coffee and she ruins their life. And that is a real risk now.

Noah’s “advice” is non-advice, like nearly all such monitions from those who are reasonably successful romantically. What paltry guidance there is, it will not aid you, and will only cause more women to disdain you. Avoid this nonsense. It’s no better than dating advice from a woman, which is always useless for men.

Bubbling

What Sort of AI Bubble Are We In?

This post is wrong, but it is wrong in an interesting way. That is, it posits all these possible future states of AI bubble popping, but begs the question1 by assuming there is a bubble at all. This reminds me of people talking about the “cloud bubble” back in 2013-2016. Well, there wasn’t one. AWS, Azure and others printed money after that “bubble” proved not to be anything of the sort.

And the funny thing is that if this person is correct and the bubble does pop, AI will then be cheaper than it was before. Because that’s what happens when an excess floods the market. See housing post-2008 for a recent-ish example.

Real AI is probably the most useful and efficacious tool we’ve gotten in the computing space since the GUI. At the very least. My guess is that it’ll end up being more consequential than that due to spillover effects.

Oh, by the way, by “interesting” I meant “clownish.” Because that’s what the piece is. Doltish bien-pensant non-thinking.

  1. And I do here mean the original sense of question-begging.

Actual Value

I guess women kind of have to pretend they put graffiti all over their bodies to “keep undesirable guys away” or to “own their body” rather than just what it is: mental illness, trend following and a higher time discount rate.

It’s a mark of bad judgment and terrible discernment, and for that it’s worth something.

How Unknowable Math Can Help Hide Secrets.

Illusions of Understanding in the Sciences.

US plan for Colorado River could cut up to 40% supply for Arizona, California and Nevada.

AI Poised to Tilt Job Market Leverage Toward Older Workers.

SNAP Recipients Fall by 660,000 In a Month.

We basically did NINJA loans again but this time with non-US citizens.

Globalism rests on a single assumption. That human beings, given the right institutions and sufficient time, will subordinate their deepest loyalties to nation, faith, language and kin in favour of a set of universal values administered from above.

French Theory married this substratum, and the child of that union is called wokism.

Struggle Sessions at Pan Macmillan.