Sorry, it's happening https://t.co/u6YrKgYuCG
— Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) May 29, 2022
Agreed; 95% likely. It is happening and only a few things can stop it, none of those very likely.
(By the way I basically never give anything a 100% likelihood due to the possibility of black swan events.)