Look at this ass-covering from Nate Silver (whom I normally like). This is just wrong (I am excluding the few polls taken on election day, and I assume “2014” means “2016”):


Unfortunately, presidential elections are won on the state level not the national. It doesn’t matter at all by how much Hillary won the popular vote. It matters which states she won or did not.

And double nope.

Come on, just admit you were wrong. Almost everyone was…the polls were just bad this year, among other issues.

For instance most polls had Trump and/or Clinton up 1 or narrowly losing by 1 in Ohio:


Here’s what actually happened:


A 9 point spread. That’s so far out of the margin of error that it also moved to Canada. So much for that whole business. Shit, Nate, don’t sweat it.