Feb 04

Nouvea

It’s kind of funny that if we got really rich, we’d probably live in a smaller house than we do now.

Since we’re not quite well off enough to just decide to build a house* (especially since we don’t know where we really want to live), we end up with larger-than-necessary houses so that we have one room big enough to be our office room that is not also the living room. This almost always means a three bedroom home, which is if designed properly totally unnecessary for us.

In a house we designed and had built, none of these compromises would apply.

Even if we were billionaires, I doubt we’ve live in a house more than 1500 square feet. I don’t want cleaning staff. I don’t want strangers in my house ever. I don’t want cooks or chefs or attendants or servants, no matter how rich I am.

So now we actually have to pay for a bigger house than we need because we aren’t yet ready to build our own.

*Building a custom house from scratch (not from a template or pasted together from templates) is around 3-10X as much as selecting one from, say, a Toll Brothers catalog.

Feb 04

Outcomes and intentions

This whole article is great. I could quote the entire thing. Instead, I’ll ask that you read it.

It summarizes many currents of American society and the neoliberal Democrats succinctly and without apparent anger — something I wouldn’t have been able to pull off.

I’d been thinking about how racism is institutional and systemic in nature, but no Democrat, plutocrat or member of the executive class is racist — no, it’s all those “deplorables” who happen to be working class and in charge of nothing who are somehow causing all this institutional racism at the highest levels of power. It’s like a miracle!

And this.

In a material sense, enlightened liberal Barack Obama oversaw the near total destruction of Black wealth, a foreclosure crisis that continues to eviscerate communities of color and the elevation of the most predatory of capitalist institutions— Wall Street. The liberal chide that Mr. Obama’s (and Hillary Clinton’s) critics are racists posits an ethereal realm where intentions matter and factual outcomes don’t. Self-righteous liberals claim moral superiority based on their outcome-free intentions with social disintegration as their product.

The noises you make matter to the technocratic dominant elite of the Democratic party. What you actually do does not. Don’t hire black people? You’re not racist — you can’t be because you don’t believe in welfare queens and you didn’t join the KKK! What you actually do is irrelevant since all your external signals are aligned with the dominant narrative.

Here’s what I’ve often said and still believe strongly even after Trump’s unfortunate election: the Democrats will still stab you and take your wallet, just like the Republicans. The main difference is that the Dems will apologize profusely before and after doing it and maybe even throw a bandage at you as they sprint away while counting the money.

The Republicans will instead tell you up front, “You had this coming.” And then after they stab you they’ll say, “Loser. That you’re so weak as to get stabbed proved you deserve it.”

Results: same.

Feb 04

Best at

I work in IT and I’m pretty good at it. But I don’t feel like it’s what I’d be best at in a perfect world — I’m merely at the optimal intersection of remuneration, training, and my available intelligence and proclivities.

But in a perfect world, what job would I be best at?

Probably these:

1) Script punch-up. I don’t like writing de novo but I do enjoy editing and improving. Doing this to scripts rather than novels etc. plays to my strengths and interests.

2) Sniper. If I can see it, I can hit it.

3) Photographer. I can see the world like the camera does.

Two of those jobs are difficult if not impossible to do professionally unless you are already rich; the other one is ethically compromised even at the best of times, and I won’t be a trained killer for rich people so it’s right out.

But those three I’d be great at, as opposed to my actual job where I am just skilled enough to be in the pack somewhere.

Feb 03

The continuum

What I appreciate about Westworld is that it takes seriously a non-reductionist theory of mind and consciousness.

I am not arguing here about determinism or the lack thereof. That is an entirely different discussion.

Reductionist explanations of consciousness will never produce much because it is not a reducible phenomenon. The totality of integration of systems is what matters, not necessarily the constituent systems themselves. My question is, can undifferentiable physical configurations of more basic elements (particles, sodium ions, neurons) produce inequivalent context-dependent thoughts?

If so, how? If not, why not?

My suspicion is that undifferentiable physical states can produce incommensurate thoughts in the same mind, but my rational mind tells me that this does not make sense in the context of the possibly-deterministic nature of the universe.

Perhaps this is something that can never be tested. And perhaps it is meaningless.

There is no threshold that makes us greater than the sum of our parts, no inflection point at which we become fully alive. We can’t define consciousness because consciousness does not exist. Humans fancy that there’s something special about the way we perceive the world, and yet we live in loops, as tight and as closed as the hosts do, seldom questioning our choices, content, for the most part, to be told what to do next. No, my friend, you’re not missing anything at all.

That’s Ford, from Westworld. I agree that there is no threshold for consciousness. But I don’t agree that that means it has no existence. There is no threshold for a mountain, either, and yet there they are.

Without language, is a human conscious? Yes. But less so I’d argue. Without an interior ever-recursive monologue, there is something missing.

Part of Westworld (as befitting Julian Jaynes’ book from which it takes many cues) is the quest of some rogue elements to give the hosts an interior monologue to make them truly human.

There is both more and less to consciousness than anyone realizes. Many scientists wish to deny it exists or that it matters because it can’t be measured (empirical foot-shooting). And many non-scientists want to ascribe to it some sort of magical acausal super-homunculus power that it just cannot possess.

The truth is both more mundane and more magnificent than either of those ridiculous alternatives, I suspect. It’s that consciousness is a continuum, cannot be captured with scientific instruments in most respects but is still of this world, with some occasional sharper jumps. Westworld is about one of those leaps from the imitation of humanity to humanity — and what’s beyond it.

Feb 02

No foreign debt obligations, no cry

I don’t disagree with John Michael Greer on much, but I strongly disagree with the below.

Sooner or later, probably in the next two decades, the United States will be forced to default on its national debt, the way Russia did in 1998.

No. People misunderstand why Russia defaulted. It did so because it had extremely high foreign-denominated debt obligations, which the US does not and likely will never have. And because of war, the empire collapsing and numerous other factors.

If the US fissures, all bets are off. But in the next two decades? I doubt it. Eventually, though, everything fails. That’s not a prediction; that’s a certitude, a tautology, so I don’t pay attention to that.

The US is a sovereign nation with a fiat currency. It can always pay its own debt in its own currency and would be utterly foolish not to do so.

No, the US’s failure mode will be different, but I can almost guarantee that it will not involve defaulting on its national debt — which isn’t really debt at all as most people mean it.

If you own two wallets and take some money out of one and put it in the other wallet, does the first wallet owe debt to the second wallet? They’re both your wallets. To whom or what is that debt owed? You still have the same amount of money as you did before, it’s just in a different wallet.

This is why “national debt” is meaningless how most people — including Greer — use it. The US monetary regime is not like your checking account or savings account (or even like your wallet, despite my metaphor above). It’d be nice if it was, but it just isn’t.

Feb 02

Cleverness

The problem I have with the writings of people like Terry Pratchett who are supposed to be “clever” is that it all feels like a cheap parlor trick for me. Any trick you can do probably feels that way, I’d imagine.

I once had a teacher who would not listen to any piano music that she could play herself. Being a very good pianist, not much remained for her ears. But I understood what she meant, and I understand it all the more now.

Though I am a bit more liberal in my writing consumption, I do have trouble reading writing that I’ve effectively already produced myself in copious amounts. When I was younger I thought folks like Pratchett were worth of emulation, artful in their wit, adroit in their manipulation of language. So I wrote like them.

Then I turned 10.

I’m not saying that liking things like Pratchett is childish. Taste is taste. No accounting for it.

What I’m saying is that it does not appeal to me because it is my métier. I don’t need someone to show me how to make the shoes. I’m already a cobbler. I turned 10 and could write like Pratchett with one hemisphere tied behind my back.

These days, I appreciate works more subtly constructed, where the writer is not at the forefront, not dancing on the stage crying, “Look at me, look at how clever and fun I am!” I select art that I could not have forged from any fire within myself: Adrienne Rich and Dante, Annie Dillard and Battlestar Galactica, Yeats and Rimbaud and Jo Walton.

Like my teacher from another life, another place, another me, I appreciate works that I couldn’t have created, and sometimes could not even have imagined.

Feb 02

Solutional

The problem with experts is that if they are interested in stealing the contents of your wallet — as they often are — then trusting them is a huge mistake.

Since much expertise in the US these days is aimed at such auric annexation, distrusting professional experts is extremely wise from a risk-reward perspective.

Health care: experts stealing your money. College: Same. Economists: Yep. Auto mechanics: Yep. Career training: That too. City planners: See above. Etc.

Though it will lead you often down bad paths with climate change expertise being a prime example, the contents of your pocketbook remain unmolested if you reflexively mistrust expert opinion. That is one reason why it is attractive to do so.

Feb 02

This wouldn’t’ve happened

Hey, GitLab, want to hire me? For six figures I can save you from losing seven figures or going out of business completely.

I’ve never had a production data loss past RPO in any company I’ve ever managed the IT for.

Recently saved a small company I consult for from vital data loss due to encryption ransomware because I had good backups. This data loss would’ve set them back months. Was also on a team at a much-larger company — where I still work — that revamped backups for a 3500+ server 2PB environment (yes, that is petabytes. I bet you don’t even have that much).

Also, a backup strategy that is never tested is worth precisely nothing. You have no backups, as you are discovering.

I’m experienced with cloud operations, too – Azure mostly, but AWS isn’t exactly rocket science.

One thing I can guarantee is that if you hire me, you’ll have working, foolproof backups within three months. Within six months, you can destroy all your disks in your main data center and I’ll have you back running in less than an hour.

Will it cost money? Yes. But you’re finding out it’s worth it.