Does anyone think there will be an election in November? I don’t. I’d say there’s about a 10% chance of that happening.
Finally, some non-propaganda is breaking through. It is about time.
It is and continues to be amazing, though, that so many of the things that centrists told us were “impossible” happened almost literally overnight.
And we’ll see more of that, too.
Coronavirus crisis ain’t making anyone do shit — that’s capitalism, baby. That’s capitalism.
Now after Covid-19 I hope all the people spouting garbage like “Y2K wasn’t a real problem” will SHUT THE FUCKING FUCK UP. It was a real problem — we just spent nearly a decade fixing it. I fixed a few things for it myself before I even worked full-time in IT!
Can confirm. In 1999 I spent six month on a Oracle codebase that generated invoices for a electrical utility.
Imagine if you aggregate dates wrong and print a million wrong invoices that are for 100 years instead of a month and accidentally debit all people's money. https://t.co/ilwN2yZWXz
— Thomas #raisethebar Fuchs (@thomasfuchs) April 5, 2020
People just have enormous, unfathomable trouble understanding crises averted, and the fact that we did something to avoid it doesn’t mean we could have NOT done those things. The reason the crisis didn’t occur is because we successfully prevented it. I cannot understand it, and that even a lot of seemingly-smart people fall into this cognitive pit of utter dumbassery.
That's not how people work. WE HAVE TO CONVINCE THEM. Plus, we may be in this for a year. That means we need to consider mental health and immunity. If we close all parks rather than have sane rules, they will gather in cramped petri-dishes aka apartments. https://t.co/TXePgpQW8A
— zeynep tufekci (@zeynep) April 5, 2020
She’s right about nearly everything, but we won’t be doing it for a year; economy will have melted down at that point, supply chains will no longer function, and people will start starving en masse.
Been thinking lately about how the difference between understanding something & not understanding it can be so dramatic. Noticed my wife go through this as she learned how to play one video game (Borderlands 2) and now has the “gamer vision” that lifelong gamers take for granted
— Visakan Veerasamy (@visakanv) April 5, 2020
I have this in a few domains, but my main gift is “bullshit vision.” I can tell when something is pure BS within a few sentences, usually. It’s rarely failed me. So rarely that I can count the instances on one hand with fingers to spare.
That’s how I knew what the experts were saying early about Covid-19 was likely false, how I knew the claptrap about facemasks was too, and how in the past I’ve made wise financial decisions by using my BS vision.
I don’t know exactly how this facility works. It’s mainly from having a massive store of information from reading 20,000+ books, thousands of scientific papers, hundreds of thousands of articles and facts and such over the years. And, of course, possessing a brain good enough to do something with all that data and related errata.
Having this capability is indeed a gift, as long as you don’t reveal too much about it in person because being right all the time makes people angry.
Finally, a real non-propaganda article about facemasks. Took long enough. Yes, masks work, even surgical ones.
Although surgical masks are not tightly sealed like N95s, the filters they contain are still a major impediment to microbes. The CDC and other health agencies often say that surgical masks catch only spurts of bodily fluids and very large respiratory droplets, and that they cannot filter tiny infectious particles. But this is simply not true.
And even non-medical non-surgical masks are protective — just not as protective as surgical masks.
Meanwhile, several studies have tested the performance of masks improvised from household materials. A 2008 paper found that masks made from kitchen towels were about half as protective as surgical masks. For a study published in 2013, scientists compared the filtration efficiency of surgical masks to linen, silk, a scarf, a kitchen towel, a pillowcase, a vacuum cleaner bag, and masks that volunteers made from 100 percent-cotton T-shirts. The surgical mask performed best, followed by the vacuum cleaner bag and kitchen towel, but the latter were too thick and stiff to be worn for long periods of time. The T-shirt masks were comfortable, though, and one-third as effective as the surgical masks. “Our findings suggest that a homemade mask should only be considered as a last resort,” the authors wrote, “but it would be better than no protection.” A 2010 study reached a nearly identical conclusion.
Our “experts” have failed us utterly. Why would anyone trust their mendacious pronouncements ever again?