This is correct; we are already in WWIII’s beginning phases and we should act like it. There is a certain inevitability to these things. We are making it worse, not better, by not helping Ukraine enough. I don’t completely agree with Kyle but we’re on a path globally that leads to a world-devastating conflict, with very few realistic ways to avoid it.
Our goal now should be to make it the least bad and shortest war possible. Which we in the US are not doing at all, and neither is Europe.
This is not the direct setup for the Taiwan invasion. That’ll occur in 2026-2027 while Trump is at his weakest. This is a test to see how the US and Europe respond to provocations. This is a common Chinese tactic that produces extremely valuable real-world data on likelihood of aggressive retaliation, determination of actual effects of communications being severed, and movement of forces in the area in which the sabotage was conducted and in other areas as well.
This is a dry run for a future, much larger operation and not the operation itself.
If Russia nuclear strikes Ukraine, would the West really follow up with nuclear counter strikes?
No, that’s not what would occur. NATO and the US would utterly destroy Russia’s military capabilities using conventional means, though. And perhaps even occupy Moscow temporarily.
However, what China would do is another matter. That I don’t have a lot of insight on but I can guarantee it would not be nothing. Most likely it would occupy significant parts of eastern Russia and Siberia, I’d guess. But that I’m less clear on.
AOC is 100% correct, and this is exactly what I was saying earlier today. https://t.co/WhrxlQTpMU
— Noah Smith 🐇 (@Noahpinion) November 15, 2024
AOC is right. That’s some bad shit, man. Russia won’t even stop at Poland. They’ll be in Germany before 2035.
How bad is it? This is very bad, and we are not nearly ready for what’s coming our way.
Agreed. Possibility of economic depression in the next few years. War also, and a large one at that.
This is going to be a very bad four years. Or more. Likely many more.
Well, yes. But we’ll also probably have a huge war too. So there’s that.
There is about a 60% chance democracy in America is over now, that we’re just in the waning phases. Democracy wasn’t always the last word on good, but it was good while it lasted.
What’s next is gonna be a ton of fun, I’m sure.
I feel truly terrible for what’s about to happen to Ukraine over the next year or so. The death and destruction will make what’s occurring there now seem like a fun day in the park.
Every single one of you motherfuckers was wrong about why Musk bought Twitter1 and I was right. You were clowning on him for “losing money” but I understood the game he was playing because I’d be doing the same thing myself if I had that much scratch. As a financial transaction, it never made sense; but it was never about the financials and was always a political project.
I’m terrible at forecasting political outcomes, but just about everything else I’m pretty damn good at it.
Get used to it because it’s gonna keep happening.
So, Russian meat waves in Poland in 2027-2028?
Meat waves in Berlin in 2030 or so.
Argh.
Yep. Europe (including Ukraine) is on its own now, as are Taiwan and the rest of our Asian allies. Hope they are ready for what’s next. Because we’re not.
Because of Trump, war with China around 2027 is extremely likely. We will get clobbered.
Soon it’ll be a good time to start buying whatever electronics or gadgets you want, as they will become unavailable or absurdly expensive in that timeframe and for quite a few years thereafter.
If Trump wins fair and square — which looks likely — start prepping, because Russia and China are gonna really fuck us, and soon.
Get ready. I absolutely assure you this will happen.
Jamie Dimon says World War III may have already begun.
Unusually for him, Jamie Dimon is 100% correct. We are already at war. It’s just so far a low-intensity war1 and we aren’t acting like it yet.
Referencing a Washington Post article, Dimon continued, “World War III has already begun. You already have battles on the ground being coordinated in multiple countries.”
This is accurate. We could forestall a greater conflict now if we wanted to, but no one is even attempting that. We should be doing these things:
1) Evicting Russia and DPRK from Ukraine post-haste.
2) Preventing Israel from further (justified) killing in Gaza and Lebanon.
3) Building up our defense base to be about twice what it is now, concentrating on aerial and naval drones, and much better coordination with our allies.
4) Forcing other NATO members to increase their militaries greatly as we will not be able to fight Russia in Poland and China in the South China Sea at the same time.
5) Reshoring as much industrial production as quickly as we possibly can.
The above is how we prevent WWIII and if that fails, how we make it the least bad catastrophe it can be. Because it’s coming and no one seems to notice or really care.
Remember, I am horrible at political predictions, unlike most of my others. I think I never take into account how incredibly stupid and uninformed the average is. That said, this is what I predict:
Here’s my Electoral Map:
