Esca

It’s odd how it’s an “escalation” when Ukraine does something that Russia has long been doing to Ukraine, but it’s not an “escalation” when Russia invades a peaceful neighboring nation.

Now how does that work again? Reminds me of when I was bullied as a kid. If I fought back at all I was the problem, not the bullies who punched me, tripped me, stole my stuff or pushed me down and kicked my ass.

Yes, very familiar indeed.

Objectively Berlin

And people think I am making this shit up when I say it’s a Russian goal to roll into Germany again. It’s not even some covert, hidden objective. It’s just right out there in the open.

Flat Wrong

I still think about the leftist contention that Ukraine would be unable to offer any resistance against Russia because it’s flat. I think about it, and I laugh. It’s like a great joke you just recall from time to time and chuckle.

How and why this idea gestated among these military “experts” I have no idea, but it’s kind of like saying that someone can’t wear a jacket because they’re lying down. It just makes no goddamn sense.

But that’s how they roll. So, par for the course.

Cider

This was the plan.

Tard-ass leftists: Ukraine should roll over and surrender! Russia thinks the Ukrainians are Russians and they merely want to enfold the Ukrainian people in a loving embrace. It’ll save lives!

Lord, how do you get so fucking stupid?

Close Cut

Eventually, Russia is going to run out of stuff. They are able to produce war materiel at about 1/10 the rate it’s getting spent on the battlefield. However, Russia has a fucking lot of stockpiled stuff.

What Russia is attempting now is to hold out until Trump gets into office and Ukraine’s support is slashed. Then they might win. But they are already cutting it close, using thirty-year-old rocket engines and tanks donated by movie studios and the like.

What We Do

This is not the direct setup for the Taiwan invasion. That’ll occur in 2026-2027 while Trump is at his weakest. This is a test to see how the US and Europe respond to provocations. This is a common Chinese tactic that produces extremely valuable real-world data on likelihood of aggressive retaliation, determination of actual effects of communications being severed, and movement of forces in the area in which the sabotage was conducted and in other areas as well.

This is a dry run for a future, much larger operation and not the operation itself.

Bad Boom

If Russia nuclear strikes Ukraine, would the West really follow up with nuclear counter strikes?

No, that’s not what would occur. NATO and the US would utterly destroy Russia’s military capabilities using conventional means, though. And perhaps even occupy Moscow temporarily.

However, what China would do is another matter. That I don’t have a lot of insight on but I can guarantee it would not be nothing. Most likely it would occupy significant parts of eastern Russia and Siberia, I’d guess. But that I’m less clear on.