Automation

Here you can see the history of automation, in one graph.

Screen_Shot_2014-09-24_at_11.27.06_AM.0

From here. Notice how recessions cause mail volume to fall, thus mail per employee. Automation in the postal space is only medium difficulty, so itโ€™s a good proxy for the โ€œaverageโ€ job. By this very limited measure, productivity is now a little over three times higher per employee than in 1930.

A novel

[A] novel is the only place in the world where two strangers can meet on terms of absolute intimacy. The reader and the writer make the book together. No other art can do that. No other art can capture the essential inwardness of human life.

Paul Aster

(That said, in the future VR will be able to do that too, but oh how the traditionalists will howl. As they always do.)

Aging

When I was naught but a tiny whippersnapper, I thought that all movies that featured characters at different ages had to use the same actors โ€“ so in my mind if a film showed a character at six years old and then as a 40-year-old, the filmmakers must have waited 34 whole years to complete the movie.

Therefore it was amazing to me as a five-year-old that any movies like this ever got made.

I figured it out not long after, of course.

Deceptive I thought it was to do anything else. I donโ€™t know why.

All bubbles

Iโ€™ve seen claims that the tulip mania that occurred in Holland in the 1630s was rational. Iโ€™ve seen the same claim for the housing bubble in the US in the early- to mid-200s. Iโ€™ve also often seen the assertionโ€“ totally revisionist and ridiculous โ€“ that โ€œno one could have known!โ€Soap_bubbles

I guess you can define โ€œrationalโ€ any way that you want, but bubbles are rational only if you believe that asset prices can rise to infinity.

Doesnโ€™t sound all that rational to me โ€“ and notice that I did not buy a house during the bubble though I certainly could have afforded one where I lived at the time. This is because I was aware of it.ย  So were many others.

Just as I was aware of the stock market bubble in late โ€˜90s and early 2000s. A story about that at another time, perhaps.

Not a great act of genius in either case, though. Some things are just obvious.

So many people are bankrupted and impoverished by bubbles that theyโ€™d like to believe that the actions that occurred during the boom โ€“ including their own individual actions โ€“ were rational.

imagesPerhaps on an individual level there is a marginally-applicable case for a small part of this due to inequalities of knowledge.

However, the powers-that-be like to impute rationality for their marks so they can avoid helping their victims, while at the same time claiming irrationality in their own affairs to avoid criminal prosecutions and to prevent the government from taking away their toys (that is, the ability to blow up the economy at will).

Are there any financial or asset bubbles right now? I only know the US all that well, but there is one, but itโ€™s not that large as bubbles go.

Tech is again in a bubble, but only a relatively-small part funded by VC. When it blows up โ€“ which it will โ€“ it wonโ€™t have much effect on the economy.

YA again

So true.

What do these critics and academics even mean when they call adult literature serious? This descriptor gets thrown around but never defined. Were I to make the same reductive assessment of all adult literature that the genreโ€™s critics make of YA fiction, then the serious novel would be about a middle-aged person struggling with career collapse and sexual frustration. I donโ€™t want to belittle these topics, but theyโ€™re only serious to sexually frustrated middle-aged people, coincidentally being the same narrow demographic that adult literature seems to serve. And they clearly donโ€™t read as many books as their kids.

It amazes me that supposed experts in critical theory, textual analysis and semiotics cannot for the life of them recognize the use and societal relevance of large-scale allegory and metaphor in works of sf or YA. It’s almost like they, say, are a little biased. But that couldn’t be, right?

Do read the Guardian piece, though. The conclusion is just great.

Contraria contrariis curantur

Truly free speech is equally imperiled at different times and in different ways because both the Left and the Right hate it when it assails their goals and ideologies.

On balance, I think the Right is worse — as is typical — but pretending the Left isn’t often just as eager to ban speech that displeases them doesn’t stand up to historical scrutiny.

Free speech is more often now constrained by corporate action than by the government directly, and this is something we are told we should not be concerned with.

“It has nothing to do with free speech if the First Amendment wasn’t violated!” as it is usually said.

I hear this from people on the Left more often than the Right, but it is widespread across the political spectrum.

But tell the worker fired for attempting to organize a union that their right to free speech was not violated. Or tell it to someone who gets canned for a mere blog post.

It’s a-ok, apparently, if a corporation does it according to most people.

I’m always a bit shocked at how willing people are to accept authoritarianism and neo-fascism as long as it is couched in the right language, framed by the right key words.

Wastin’ time

Agreed.

Iโ€™m tired of explaining to men that the feminist movement will, in fact, benefit them as well as women. Iโ€™m tired of trying to hawk gender equality like Iโ€™m some kind of car salesman showing off a shiny new sedan, explaining all of its bells and whistles. Iโ€™m tired of smiling through a thousand thoughtless microaggressions, tired of providing countless pieces of evidence, tired of being questioned on every. single. damn. thing. Iโ€™m tired of proving that microaggressions exist, tired of proving that Iโ€™m unfairly questioned and asked for proof. For a movement thatโ€™s centered around the advancement and empowerment of women, why do I feel like Iโ€™m supposed to spend so damn much of my time carefully considering how what I say and do will be taken by men?

Iโ€™m a man and I agree with this and the entire piece. If I were a woman, Iโ€™d probably be a radical separatist because it seems like the majority of men just donโ€™t get it.

Iโ€™m not a feminist ally because itโ€™s stylish, because itโ€™ll get me laid (trust me: it really doesnโ€™t, quite the opposite!) or because I have any daughters or because I have a sister.

Iโ€™m an ally because itโ€™s only right that women get an equal shot at life, at achieving their dreams, at the pursuit of happiness.

Wasnโ€™t there something about that in our constitution somewhere?

Speaking of networking

For one project Iโ€™d ordered a very expensive piece of networking gear (a Riverbed Steelhead, if you must know).

The UPS delivery driver arrived to deliver it and was carrying it in his arms. Which was fine, but he was curious about what it was.

I said, โ€œItโ€™s a Riverbed, a piece of networking gear that makes networks operate faster.โ€*

He said, โ€œSounds expensive. What does something like that cost?โ€

โ€œAbout $30,000 for the one in your hands.โ€

โ€œHoly shit, if Iโ€™d know that Iโ€™d brought it up on the hand truck!โ€ he said as he handed it to me.

Yes, Riverbeds are expensive. Also worth it if you need one.

*Not quite technically true, but thereโ€™s no way to explain what a Riverbed really does in a casual conversation with a busy driver.

Data caps

Sure, let ISPs charge for data after going over your soon-to-be mandatory data caps โ€“ but at the going rate.

Thatโ€™d be about half a cent or so for gigabyte, and that includes a tidy profit for the ISP.

Hell, let them charge a cent per gigabyte. Thatโ€™d give them about a 120% profit, including all infrastructure, personnel, operational, maintenance and other costs that an ISP incurs.

But no. They want 10,000%+ profits on this.

And no, Iโ€™m not exaggerating. Iโ€™ve provisioned enterprise-level bandwidth (custom fiber runs), and installed enterprise-level $25,000 switches to support it so I know exactly how much real bandwidth costs.

Lost

There will never be a TV show like Lost made again.cast-of-lost

No matter what you think of it there wonโ€™t be, canโ€™t be, another show with its scope, its ambition, its odd mรฉlange of sf, fantasy, sitcom, mystery and with its peculiar zaniness and odd sincerity.

In the future there might be shows with similar themes but they wonโ€™t have the budget or the audacity to pull off what Lost did, nor the excellent cast that budget entails. Despite its flagrant and at times annoying excesses, what do you think the chances are of any other show โ€œtrickingโ€ so many people who claim to hate sf and fantasy into watching just that for so long?

As I said, it will never happen again.

2X14_HurleySawyerI first saw Lostย  accidentally.ย  Like Firefly, I had not planned to watch it as I thought it sounded terrible. I caught the tail end (tail section, heh) of one episode while waiting for another show to come on, back when I still watched a show or two on an actual TV.ย  (Imagine that.)

I was instantly captivated, completely sucked in after only two minutes. Never have I been engrossed in a story so quickly.

As soon as I could I watched the earlier parts of the first season.

So many good things about that show. Yes, I am still upset that Kate was not the leader, as guv7was the original plan for the show. That wouldโ€™ve been more interesting as she was a better character than Jack. Itโ€™s also the first show on a major American network I recall seeing where a full half of the cast was not white. That has not happened since as far as I can tell, by the way.

Every show has its flaws and so did Lost. Like other great works, however, it rose above them and somehow coalesced into the strangest show ever that appealed to any sort of mass market. How it managed to do that I donโ€™t know.

About the ending, I thought it was fine.ย  The best that could have been done. To me the journey is what matters. And what a hell of a fine journey it was โ€“ though I wanted to throw my TV out the window when Shannon died. Talk about character development done right.

And best line from the show? Undoubtedly when Frank Lapidus after realizing that all of the former Lost-ers are on his plane says, โ€œWe’re not going to Guam, are we?โ€

March

Sarcozona has noticed the lack of coverage of the climate change march by the mainstream press.

Not surprising โ€“ during the run-up to the second Iraq war, the massive demonstrations against that invasion involving millions of people all around the planet went nearly unreported.

These sorts of things, despite the climate march at least being partially co-opted by corporate interests, do not please our corporatacracy so reporters are not assigned to cover such actions. If implicitly anti-corporate and anti-government (these days the same thing) marches or demonstrations are reported at all, the reporters are likely instructed to minimize the story and the crowds present.

Not a formal conspiracy โ€“ just corporations looking out for their own interests and that of their sponsors.

CNN as sarcozona pointed out half-truthed their way into underestimating the crowd severely.

But it went beyond that, though. Letโ€™s look at some images.

One image from a less-biased source giving an idea of the true scale of the crowd:

scale

Yeah, thatโ€™s a lof of people โ€“ you canโ€™t even see the end of them.

Now letโ€™s look at just one example of the images CNN used in the video at the top of this article:

cnn

Hey, I think I see a difference!

Note that all of the portrayals of the march in the CNN video consisted of these relatively-tight shots of sparse crowds, interspersed with on-the-street reporting. The example Iโ€™ve chosen is the widest shot of them all. There were NO wide-angle shots of any sort of the entire massive throng of people, which is highly unusual.

I was a US Army photojournalist for five years. My job wasnโ€™t reporting the truth (though I think in total the journalism done in the Army was more truthful than that done by mainstream media) โ€“ my job was to report the truth that made the Army and its units look good.

So I know a little something about how to avoid lying in a story while still only telling the truth that those in charge want told.

What CNN has done is an absolutely textbook example of that. Nothing in the CNN story is a direct fabrication. โ€œTens of thousands of peopleโ€ is not incompatible with 300,000+ people. In fact, 300,000 people is tens of thousands. But if you think that figure is usually employed that way, Iโ€™ve got some rocks painted gold that Iโ€™d like you to buy for actual gold prices. What CNN did is like saying, โ€œThe US contains hundreds of thousands of people.โ€ Not wrong. Just bewilderingly shady.

Likewise, showing only medium and close shots of the crowd isnโ€™t mendacious, just highly misleading.

Itโ€™s all a textbook example of how to not quite lie while utterly concealing the truth.

Update: This drone footage while fairly low-quality gives a pretty good idea of the number of people marching.

Magic

Movies could use more magical realism, as found in Beasts of the Southern Wild.

Magical realism rarely works that well in novels. At least I don’t think so. Most of the time it just obfuscates the narrative though sometimes it can be executed well. (Don’t even talk to me about Carlos Castaneda, that putz.)

Movies, though, are often dreamlike by their very nature, just by dint of the contingencies of the medium itself. Adding some elements of magical realism to films does them justice, often.

Or another thought: movies make reality seem more dreamlike and unreality seem more concrete.

That’s the consequences of humans being such visually-oriented animals.

But do watch Beasts of the Southern Wild if you have not — I should have added it to this list, but forgot.

โ€™Rents Rants

Becoming a parent seems to make most people into some sort of weird pseudo-human that causes them to consign to oblivion everything that happened before they decided to grace the earth with their crotchsplosions.

I don’t understand why. Having a kid takes no particular skill. It just takes fucking and then waiting.

When I was a kid — and this wasn’t uncommon at all — kids were not centered in adult life. Not like they are now. At the time it made me unhappy, but then again I was an unusual kid.

This is another relative-large social shift in my lifetime that I don’t really understand the genesis of, nor the dominance of the underlying weltaunshauung. I’m not even going to speculate on how it developed.

This article covers some pretty good annoyances typically heard from those folks, though.

Indicating to these people that having kids is the only way they will reach some higher level of understanding is both inconsiderate and rude. I donโ€™t know what the alternatives to these statements are. Maybe just cut anything that starts with โ€œWhen you have kidsโ€ฆโ€ out of yourย repertoire all together. It makes you sound like their mom anyway.

I don’t have any problem with people having kids. I just don’t believe it makes you a saint, a better person than me, or qualified to dispense unwanted advice. That’s all.

Emma Watson UN Speech

Itโ€™s really good to see so many openly feminist extremely famous women out there now โ€“ Kristen Stewart, Emma Stone, Jennifer Lawrence and Emma Watson among them.

You might not think it matters (but youโ€™re wrong). These โ€œmere actressesโ€ like it or not are thought leaders and will influence many millions of women and men who pay attention to them.