This from Daniel Lemire is a good response to the Ceglowski essay that I also wrote about recently. It takes a different tack as compared to my response but also makes some points related to mine.
Cegลowski would keep the technology as it isโฆ โWhy do we need to obsess on artificial intelligence, when weโre wasting so much natural intelligence?โ
Technology is fine today. Let us work hard to keep it as it is.
I could not disagree more. We urgently need to improve our technology. The web as it stands today wonโt be good enough in 30 years
Robotics and the speed with which this and AI as well as AI-approximate technologies will come to dominate society are going to utterly surprise people like Ceglowski.
Things that are inevitable within ~100 years if tech society continues:
Extensive DNA modification/improvement.
Ubiquitous robotics and AI.
No more livestock– all meat lab-created.
Artificial life.
Artificial wombs.
Children with 3+ parents (already happening!) or no parents.
Neural implants.
I’d bet every cent I have on at least those seven things happening. They are baked in. What else, though? There will be more. People like Ceglowski can’t even imagine those things, just like people in 1920 couldn’t imagine the internet or ICBMs.