Easy

What would be the most effective terrorism if terrorists actually cared about achieving their goals? This site got me thinking about it, and I think this is correct.

But now I’m wondering: if they were acting for political goals, what would be their best strategy? I think it would be to attack the technological infrastructure. There’s no way all that stuff can be guarded, and one person can do a lot of damage with little risk of being caught.

Indeed — give me three people, a few pounds of C-4 and a weekend, and I could eliminate North American internet access for three to six months. Maybe longer. I don’t mean it’d be partially available. No, it’d be gone.

Why no one has done this, I don’t know. Because it’s so, so easy.

If you doubt, it’s no harder than this even in North America.

FWP

When a writer grapples with something like this, I’m tired of the idiot chorus screeching “First World problems!” as if that somehow invalidates it.

Motherfucker, I live in the First World! All I got is First World problems!

On a more serious note, is there any more worthless pseudo-refutation of someone’s thoughts? Or less useful? It’s the tactic of those who have nothing better to contribute, because it’s not as if they actually want to discuss Third World problems at all, either.

I should write an extension that anytime it parses and detects that phrase, it either removes the comment from my view or replaces it with the phrase “I am part of a bozo explosion.”

Bad data

Turns out most of the narrative — unsurprisingly — presented by the mainstream media about who votes for Sanders is wrong or at least highly misleading.

If you look at race it seems Clinton owns the โ€œblack vote.โ€ But Jeff Stein writes, โ€œseveral polls have put Sanders ahead of Clinton among young African-Americans; in the Reuters polling data, for instance, Sanders beats Clinton by 25 points among black voters aged 18 to 29.โ€

I bolded that last line because Iโ€™m very tired of being told that Sanders is the candidate of privileged white people.

The media narrative was designed to mislead. Is it ever any other way? I expect there are things about Clinton that are similar, though not to the same extent since she is the establishment’s anointed candidate.

Ugh, why am I posting about this again? Trump’s got this one in the bag anyway, because of the undemocratic Electoral College and because misplaced 90s nostalgia won’t be able to put Clinton over the top.

Housing

Of all the atrocities to sense and ethics that occurred during the Great Financial Crisis, this one dumbfounded me the most because at the time I thought, there’s no one way anyone can get away with this. But they did. Easily and with very little pushback or even reporting on it.

What precipitated this was that the mortgage industry thought they could ignore a 300-year old system of property law. They considered it too costly and time-consuming to generate and store (and pay to publicly record) paper assignments for every single transfer. Never mind that it was the law. Never mind that having a well-established property records system, so you can buy and sell property with the confidence that nobody else has a claim on it, is what separates developed and under-developed nations. The industry didnโ€™t want to pay for it, so they didnโ€™t. And they dared everyone โ€“ homeowners, politicians, law enforcement โ€“ to stop them. And given what transpired, and how little accountability we ended up seeing for this, you have to acknowledge that the industry made the right bet.

In short, there are millions of houses out there now where it’s not clear in any real way who owns them — oh, some bank says they own them, or some family believes they own their house, but if you actually examine the chain of title it’s pretty clear there is fraud along the way — and guess what? Fraud invalidates current title.

(And I actually do know a fair bit about this. I worked at an offshoot of Transunion for a while before I broke into IT, first as a proofreader but later after I got my own team and did a good bit of title examining. This means determining if a title has a clear chain of ownership, no liens, and that the property description is something that makes sense. So yeah, I actually do know how to examine a title to industry standards; I once upon a time got paid to do it and I was really good at it.)

I don’t foresee millions of title invalidations. But nevertheless it is possible. Most likely, the title invalidations would benefit big banks anyway so here’s to hoping it doesn’t happen. My point though is that there are millions of properties out there now where the title documents by dint of massive fraud back in the title chain are completely compromised, and it is very possible that this fact could cause harm in the future.

But if you don’t see the problem with what happened think of it this way: what if you showed up at the DMV and your name, say, is Jennifer Martinez. You’re getting a license, let’s posit. You have a birth certificate written in crayon that claims your name is “Twiggy Nietzshe.” Your document that establishes your current address is some scrawl limned in Sharpie on the side of your cat. And you have a current passport from the country of Neverland and another valid one from Atlantis.

But the DMV takes a look at this, pronounces it all good, and hands you a license.

By way of absurdity, the above is just as ridiculous as what the banks got away with above. Really. And they should’ve been smacked down just as hard as you would be if you showed up at the DMV with that collection of “documents.”

I think foreclosure and chain of title being difficult to understand is what caused this to be woefully under-reported, but it was for me the most shocking event of any that occurred during the GFC, this repudiation of 300 years of very well-established and previously-incontrovertible property law.

Having worked in the industry, I have no idea how any of it is still operating with so much clear fraud right out in the open.

One of the biggest scams in history that very few even know was and is a scam, and one with still-extant very real financial and ownership risks.

Hintin’ it’s not Clinton

I’ll be glad when this election is over, no matter the outcome. Tired of hearing about it. Tired of witnessing formerly-sane people descend into terror and nostalgic fantasy.

I don’t support Trump, Clinton or Sanders — but I fundamentally can’t understand anyone who supports Clinton. What a terrible choice for the country, for progressivism, for feminism, for the world.

I can understand supporters of Trump, though I disagree with them. I can understand Sanders supporters, because I mostly agree with them (though not as much with their candidate).

But I can’t understand — will never understand — their apologies and excuses for Hillary Clinton’s mendacity, corruption and terrible leadership skills. Her policies will be destructive to the nation and the interests of the US. Trump has a way with words — or at least short phrases — and “Crooked Hillary” is perhaps the most apt political slur ever.

Clinton might arguably be the lesser evil, but she’s still damn evil indeed. She won’t be president (it’ll be Trump because the electoral college favors him) but that she could be is a terrible fact of American political life.

Missing the apparent

How did I miss this? Seems so obvious. So obvious. But I forget that most people are about most things much more emotion-driven than I am.

Note that I am not saying that I am some rational maximizer. However even when I was a little kid, I realized I was not very emotional and had to spend those emotions on things that really mattered. That’s just my personality and I’ve been aware of that since I was five at least.

Anyway, here’s what I missed: most of the weirdo fact-savaging from people like Kevin Drum, Lance Mannion, Charles Blow, Sarah Kendzior and Paul Krugman in their support of Clinton is just plain old 90s nostalgia. And life was comparatively good then, and people of that age (Sarah Kendzior fits this frame less, but still does I think) associate both Clintons with that relatively-idyllic period — even though all of that was in spite of the Clintons rather than because of them.

And I even understand — jobs were really easy to get then compared to now. The country seemed to be ascendant. Communism was vanquished. Poverty was falling. People were getting rich left and right on dot-coms and tech plays. People were flush. Crime was way down. Things did truly feel very optimistic, like we were making progress on many fronts.

So I understand Clinton people, because I comprehend this now too: there is nothing policy-related that really matters to you about Hillary (as is true of 80% of people all of the time), and there are no logical arguments for or against Clinton that can sway you.

Because it’s just not about that.

It’s about how much better living in the 1990s felt than how it feels now. Which it did in nearly every way, I agree. I remember that sense of hope very well. Clinton won’t bring that back — it ain’t coming back — but I can understand how it might feel like she could.

I missed the bleeding obvious. But at least I got it now.

Trends

IT industry predictions.

We live currently in a world that believes in scaling out things VERY wide with very inefficient code.

Indeed. I’ve seen too many companies building systems on Docker and other highly inefficient platforms that while resilient are literally hundreds to thousands of times slower than they would be if you used a decent programming language on one or two dedicated machines in a traditional failover cluster.

The problem is that even most computer science graduates aren’t taught much actual computer science (ask my partner, she is a computer science grad from a decent school and doesn’t feel she got what she should have out of it), so for most problems what you gain in parallelism you lose in raw speed.

The speed of light is finite. The speed of electrons is finite, and even slower than light. Coordination costs are high, and rise exponentially the more nodes you have (this isn’t quite true for many classes of problems, but writing books is not what I do here).

Scaling is great. But scaling actually hurts you in many cases. I can build a single machine that’s faster than some thousand-node Docker containers for many problems — if I use the right hardware and the right programming language, and a properly-optimized database.

But like most human endeavors, IT moves on trends and what’s cool rather than what makes sense.

No IT

I would not recommend going into IT if you are starting your career now, though the salaries look attractive.

Most of those jobs are going to disappear. Many will be automated away. The rest will decamp to India or China or (one day) Africa. And then they too will mostly be automated and go away forever.

What field, then? None are safe. Just the way it is. World is changing faster than any compensation is possible.

SatCom

My grandfather hand-built a satellite dish in 1979. This was in rural North Florida. Most people there had never seen one before.

The local police investigated him briefly for “spying for the Russians,” though why you’d spy with something so obvious and sizable was never clear.

Anyway, my grandfather constructed a dish that would’ve at the time cost around $115,000 in today’s dollars for around $4,000, not including his own labor. The most expensive part was the low noise amplifier. The rest was mainly just tubing and some wire mesh.

After I got a little older, I’d help him build the dishes when I went over. He then was building them to sell to others. I wasn’t very good at it because I was and am about as handy as a sea slug, but my grandfather was remarkably tolerant of my mis-bending of pipes.

I remember marveling that we could build something on a picnic table made out of chicken wire and pipe that could pick up a signal from space no stronger than a 60-watt light bulb.

Well, yes

Well, yeah, if you want to have a body like a god, you have to eat a lot.

And you also have to work out a lot. I was in the 82nd Airborne Division for five years (already a unit that tends to work out a whole lot), serving most of that time under a commander who was a fitness nut.

In the military, that makes you a de facto fitness nut too. I never had a body like Chris Hemsworth, but at my peak I weighed around 170 pounds at 5’8″ with about 8% body fat. That was with working out ~4 hours a day most days, and eating around 4,000 calories a day. That is a lot of working out, but it wasn’t all high-intensity — it was intelligently done and very effective.

At my peak, I could bench 250 pounds, run two miles in 11 minutes, run 12 miles without even being at all tired, and do 130+ push-ups in less than two minutes (without stopping). I was fast, flexible, not muscle-bound and had tons of explosive power and I didn’t get tired at all really. (I once during that time helped a friend move and literally ran the boxes to and from the moving truck up and down the stairs both ways. I moved something like 40 boxes in the time it took him to do four. I wasn’t tired at all even after all that.)

But unlike this article states, you don’t have to eat expensive food. Humans are omnivores; any calories with the right nutrients will work. Most days, I ate at the chow hall. But I definitely did need to all those 4,000 caloriesย  as if I didn’t, I lost energy.

I never want to work out that much again, but it was actually kind of fun being that physically capable. However if someone wants to pay me as much as Chris Hemsworth gets paid to do that again, bring it the fuck on.

Otherwise, I’ll definitely pass.

Green with envy

I know, to be a modern pseudo-liberal, one must abhor John Green for daring to write about people not like him in every single way — but one of the movies I enjoyed the most recently was The Fault in Our Stars.

While by no means perfect, one of the main things I liked about it is that it takes the intensity and reality of teenage emotions and life changes seriously. Especially this is needed as an antidote to the view of many adults that nothing that happens to anyone under 21 is real. But I remember being a teenager very well and many things seemed — and were — much more consequential to me then than they are now as an adult. And of course with cancer in the mix this intensifies it all the more.

I’ve not read the book but the film at least aspires to be a lot of things, and achieves most of them. And unsurprisingly, Shailene Woodley is just excellent outside of the Divergent bore-fest. And Laura Dern is always great but here she’s in top form indeed.

Also it is a shockingly intelligent film, with even some references to neuroethics and other correctly-explained bits of science — which rarely happen in any movie much less one featuring teens.

Why it’s “exploitation” when John Green writes about young people but not when Alaya Dawn Johnson or the even-older Suzanne Collins (53) does so I will never understand — but either way, the movie is worth watching for Woodley’s performance alone.

Just like life the film provides no comfortable answers nor obvious choices but rather asks what we will do with the time that we have while it is still ours.

Recommended.