Lies, damn lies, and immigration

Also, don’t believe the lies that deportations will destroy the economy. First if that were true:

1) It already would have happened.

2) Economies just aren’t that linear. If you believe in the DSGE (which most economists claim to), destruction of the economy is not a possible response.

3) It’s a neolib fairy tale so that wages can continue to be suppressed on several fronts. And if you don’t believe neolibs support open borders due to wage suppression, WHY THE FUCK ELSE WOULD THEY WANT IT SO BADLY? That makes me angry, because it is so obvious.

It’s interesting how successfully the neoliberal mindset has co-opted the so-called liberal world, causing universal support for very harmful ideas like open borders and stupid economic models that bear no resemblance to any economy anywhere.

No easy answers

The primary effects of the “open borders” mentality will be to more quickly reduce and eliminate the welfare state, and to decrease even further societal trust and cohesion.

If this isn’t important, or we see it as inevitable, perhaps we should just declare it to be so, open the borders wide and taper off unto elimination Medicaid, unemployment insurance, WIC, CHIP, TANF, SNAP, Medicare and Social Security.

We could try changing human nature but historically that hasn’t worked out so well. Resulted in millions of deaths every time we’ve made a go of it. Want another go? I don’t.

This is just a guess, but I suspect the US could sustain around 5% non-native-born population and still have the political will to maintain those programs. Above that, I doubt it. At around 12% now, there’s absolutely no chance.

I wish these weren’t the choices on offer. But the world is as it is.

This is above and beyond the right that I believe people should have to decide who lives in their own country — that somehow in America (but only in America) we believe immigrant rights should abolish and supersede non-immigrant rights.

Feeling stupid

Realized today that the reason I constantly feel stupid and befuddled is because I unconsciously prioritize reading things I barely understand, that I must struggle to comprehend.

That is not a bad thing, and it means I’m not actually becoming feebleminded.

Net jobs

Friday I was trying to calculate how many jobs companies I work for or had worked for had eliminated in the past few years. I ended up estimating about 5,000 jobs automated out of existence.

Since the companies who’ve employed me aren’t very large, and not much hiring occurred in lieu of these 5,000 jobs, that means I personally (if you want to map job loss to employees in companies where I work as a direct ratio), eliminated around 11 jobs.

That sounds about right.

This is the way the economy works now. I am the automation you read about and disbelieve is occurring.

One company I work for part time and another I work for full-time is in the process at this very moment of taking on two different large accounts. We are going to automate absolutely everything. Job losses will be around 130 people. They will be replaced with: one part-time employee, one SQL server with some scripts, one good backup system and Azure geo-redundancy.

Net job loss: 129.5.

This is happening all over now. It will only get worse. It’s not some future contingency to deal with. It is the present. When I go into work next week, some people who had jobs doing well-compensated work will no longer have those jobs.

Can’t get more real than that.

Bounded rationality

I know sometimes I seem to be anti-science here. I am not. There’s a reason my fifth grade teacher called me “Mr. Science” and it’s the same reason that I taught most of the science portions of her class that year.*

What I am is against the idea that science has ultimate explanatory power, and that it can be used as a guide to what sort of life to live.

It does not and can not.

At best it can serve an advisory role. What it absolutely can’t do is provide any sort of meaning to life, to determine ethics or morality, to allow one to discern what one should do in any situation.

Too many scientists and engineer types believe that they are the ultimate arbiters and interpreters of rationality and can decide with scientific tools the type of life other people should lead, all dictated by equations (that they’ve written, of course) on a page or in a computer.

The algorithmic rationalist view of the world that has brought us Facebook, mass surveillance, algo-drone bombing and soon much, much worse.

This view is so wrong as to be ludicrous, yet in all too many quarters this pseudo-rationality is the default one. Looking at the world any other way is seen as insane in those same quarters.

I reject this utterly. These people are dangerous, and furthermore they are just as injurious to human flourishing as the most ardent Islamist or Christian dominionist in the long run.

*Yes, I really did teach the science portion of 5th grade for nearly the entire year all while I was myself in 5th grade.

Great example

The first part of this article is a perfectly-executed example of a false dichotomy. Really, it’s rhetorically brilliant.

After that I’m not sure what the article is arguing as it seems to wish and then wash all over the place, for a wishy-washy waste of space.

It mostly seems to be advocating for preserving the current wonderful state of things — which has worked out just great. For the billionaires, that is.

Whatever will result in Jeff Sommer’s paymasters keeping all their pilfered money is what I am sure Jeff Sommer will ever and always argue for. I mean, it’s the NYT. Promoting the status quo is their business model.

Rod of Asclepius

I was going to make a satire site with directions on how to do self-surgery to save on medical expenses — or if you were not American tough (fuck yeah!), then it would provide instructions to a family member on how to, for example, do a heart bypass or appendectomy.

But Poe’s Law, guys and gals, Poe’s Law.

Someone might take the site seriously. It might be adopted as conservative policy. It might already be a thing.

I was going to call it Hasbro’s New Operation: Bring Your “A” Game Or Daddy is Going To Be Pushing Daisies and It’ll Be All Your Fault, Parasite.

Novel

I’m no worshipper of Elon Musk, but it is telling that when someone attempts to do something truly new in the world, he is criticized and demeaned — while those who create “apps” that help you sell your soul and your data to a corporation are lionized and celebrated.

Hmmm, could there be an agenda here, perhaps? Some propaganda, maybe? Oh, perish the thought!

Part of it is that I believe there is some transference here (for lack of a better term) — hardware is not cool. Rockets these days aren’t even cool. Batteries aren’t cool. Al that physical stuff…just so ugh. That’s the kind of thing the working-class deplorables deal with. Yuck.

Even though Musk is rich, this stench of physicality — of doing real things in the corporeal world — clings to him. Where it’s at is creating an app that gives someone tiger ears and for $1 they can also add a bunny nose, not getting rocket fuel or nickel metal hydride on your hands.

I know Musk has his worshippers and celebrants. Every flashy parvenu will. Rarely do I see though such pushback though even against Mark Zuckerberg who should be a far more despised figure.

Examining why is what I’m doing here, not championing Musk in particular. This derision aimed at Musk is a symptom of our despair and of our abandonment and renunciation of changing the world out there, rather than the world on the screen in front of us. Therefore, anyone who actually does big things credibly well — like Musk — is an implicit threat and critique of that lethargic otiosity.

Inimicus

What…what is happening in the world? When I mostly agree with Glenn Reynolds, I can’t understand anything any more.

Well, now theyโ€™ve heard it, and theyโ€™ve also heard that a lot of Americans resent the meritocratsโ€™ insulation from whatโ€™s happening elsewhere, especially as Americaโ€™s unfortunate record over the past couple of decades, whether in economics, in politics, or in foreign policy, doesnโ€™t suggest that the โ€œmeritocracyโ€ is overflowing with, you know, actual merit.

In the United States, the result has been Trump.ย In Britain, the result was Brexit. In both cases, the allegedly elite โ€” who are supposed to be cool, considered, and ย above the vulgar passions of the masses โ€” went more or less crazy.ย From conspiracy theories (it was the Russians!) to bizarre escape fantasies (A Brexit vote redo!ย A military coupย to oust Trump!) the cognitive elite suddenly didnโ€™t seem especially elite, or for that matter particularly cognitive.

Just kidding. I have the cognitive toolset to deal with it. One of the reasons you’re seeing the absolutely bizarre and unhinged behavior lately from so many (mostly Dems) is that they do not. The world is metamorphosing in unexpected ways and political alignments are becoming…strange.

I hate to admit this, because I completely and fully support nearly all of the egalitarian agenda of the left (and more), but the apparent focus on bathrooms and who wore what kimono when rather than doing any work on the massive and unrelenting decline in living standards for many Americans — well, that was deadly. It was the meta reason Trump is now president.

Damn, when Glenn Reynolds can see what’s really happened more clearly than most Dems, the world is truly screwed.

Is this politics? If so, est quod est and sum quod sum.

Rationality and rationalization

Strict rationality will never work as a philosophy in this universe for a few reasons.

The first is that there is no reason to undertake (or to fail to undertake) an action using a strictly rationalist framework. All of this at the human level requires morals, ethics, values and desire. Even at the animal level, choices must be made. Decisions depend always on more than mathematical calculations of utility or gain maximization.

The second is that there is no path from and never will be from particle positions and velocities to meta behavior. Possible in principle? Perhaps. But combinatorial explosion means that it’s a path we can never walk in practice to travel mathematically or rationally from the very small to the very not. It simply cannot be done. Thus no rationality because predictive power will always be minimal or at least far less than expected in any real-world system.

The third and more important is that the evidence that the universe itself is rational is not so clear as the empiricists would like you to believe. First, ignore the mumbo-jumbo dispensed by the quantum mysterians, believers that the universe is a simulation, Schrรถdinger’s damn cat or the usually-wrong statements about Gรถdel’s Incompleteness Theorem. You don’t need any of that. All that is required to conclude that the universe lacks rationality is to simply believe as the empiricists demand that the universe is completely deterministic.

Believing this, then ask yourself if the universe is in fact fully deterministic, how can causality possibly work or have any meaning at all? If there is no choice, no volition anywhere in the stack (which is what determinism absolutely and inviolately demands), then everything that follows from causality is illusory: particle interactions, atomic configurations, choices, decisions, predictions, relations between anything and anything else (just another name for causality). Nothing can be said to have caused anything else because from the very first moment of the Big Bang (and perhaps before) it was preordained — coded into the universe as in a computer program. (Does causality make sense in a computer program? Nope! See above.)

In other words, causality and determinism are irreconcilable but both are at the heart of scientific enterprise. This is not some trivial objection. It is a fundamental failure that cannot be hand-waved away nor denied no matter the anguished screams of empiricists everywhere.

Fork in the road

The cover of this anti-evolution book made me laugh.

Yep, it is a real book. Alas.

The blurb is also funny — particularly this part as it’s actually accurate but whoever wrote it (like most of these types) knew nothing about evolution at all.

Are you really the descendant of chimpanzees? The latest scientific evidence says “No Way!”

True, because chimpanzees and humans are both descendants of a common ancestor that probably lived around 7 million years ago.