Repetition

I have good recall of nine presidential elections now, and while there was some of this during the 2000 election, it mostly dissipated within a few months.

Even if there isn’t massive Republican cheating in 2020 (which there probably will be), unless there is a major recession it’ll be Trump winning that one, too — all thanks to the Democrats (really Republicans in all but name) and Centrists (more conservative Republicans who call themselves Democrats).

Hell, they might even nominate Hillary again.

Jaynes

Humans of even the fairly recent past were not really that similar to people now.

Probability theory was in its infancy in Bayesโ€™s day. Strange as it may seem, before the seventeenth century nobody could calculate even such simple chances as that of a normal coin landing five heads in a row. It wasnโ€™t that the information wouldnโ€™t have been useful. There was plenty of gambling before modernity. But somehow no one could get their head around probabilities. As Ian Hacking put in his groundbreaking The Emergence of Probability (1975), someone in ancient Rome โ€œwith only the most modest knowledge of probability mathematics could have won himself the whole of Gaul in a weekโ€.

Julian Jaynes is almost certainly wrong in the details of his “bicameral mind” theorizing, but he’s not wrong in the general idea that the human psyche and cognitive tools (and perhaps consciousness itself) have changed extremely radically from ancient times until now — perhaps several times.

I’m a mathematical moron, and probability makes intuitive sense to me and calculating it is fairly easy. That before 1600 or so no one could really do that is pretty astounding, but also expected in a way. Their minds and their culture just did not work that way, so that sort of probability calculation would have been prima facie senseless to them and to the ancients.

Span

Went to a place for lunch down the road where no English is really spoken. I knew this in advance, and I was able to pull back enough high school Spanish to order lunch.

I’m not used to it as a white dude being the one out of place, with people looking at me suspiciously. I’m sure 3/4 of the people eating there are in the country illegally so I understand their trepidation. I was literally the only white person in the whole store.

Once I ordered in (not that good) Spanish, though, most people relaxed.

The food was great, by the way, and fast. The sandwich shop I ordered from yesterday took nearly 30 minutes to make a single sandwich with no other customers in the store. The Mexican grocery store took less than five minutes.

Lingual

After the language police have purged our argot of all that is offensive or even potentially so, thus removing all evocative phrases and any connotative content, and we are still prejudiced and still, well, human, what then?

Tessa Violet (meekakitty)

What a fun song and video. She’s too young to even remember it firsthand of course, but it reminds me of the 80s and very early 90s when people had much more open and approachable personalities. She might be making a reference to that directly because her clothes and hair are an homage to 80s fashion.

At the very tail end of this period, in 1993, I went to a Belly concert. Great concert, but the organizers let too many people in. It was a very dangerous mess, and particularly perilous for women who were shorter and generally not as physically strong. After a few minutes of people falling down and getting half-trampled, and several girls passing out, a woman standing near me tapped me on the shoulder and said, “Hi, I know we don’t know each other, but can I put my arms around your neck? I heard you talking to your friend and you seem nice enough. And I don’t want to get knocked down.”

“Absolutely, this place is crazy” I said. So she hooked her arms around my neck, her hands clasped, and pressed her body against mine so we wouldn’t get separated (the pressure of the crowd in this concert was absurdly strong — I had marks on my stomach for days where I’d been shoved against the stage so hard). We spent most of the concert like that and after the concert she gave me her number (email addresses weren’t a thing then for most people), and like an idiot that I was, I never called her.

Can you imagine anything like that happening today? I can’t. People are so insular now that a woman in these times (or a man) would let themselves be trampled before that would occur.

Everything felt just so different then, and not because I was young. People’s approach to the world was wholly opposite to now, more broad-minded, less suspicious and more available for experience.

Tina, sorry I never called you, but the concert was better (if sweatier) because we got to chat and squee over our adoration of Belly and Tanya Donelly. Even though the circumstances of our meeting weren’t the best, it was a better experience in spite of it all.

Here’s a song Belly played during that concert that absolutely blew our brains out of our heads. Fuck, what a performance that was.

Tory

Soccer/Football is the most boring game in history. I can’t see why anyone can stand it. Hockey is just as boring, but icier. In general, I dislike watching team sports of any kind but the idea of anyone wanting to watch soccer is just baffling (yes, I understand the rules).

What a turd of a sport.

Amilyn

Laura Dern as Admiral Holdo was by far the best part of The Last Jedi. She was just great. Not everyone agrees, it appears.

The military in general (in this or any universe) would greatly benefit from having more diversity of thought and experience.

In a story with few great characters, Holdo is a pretty great one and the only reason I’d ever watch that film again. It helps that Dern plays her completely straight so that she seems like a real person.

Europe is scrod

Cripes I am glad the only immigration “crisis” we have in the US is people mostly like us culturally and socially arriving from the South (and a trickle from the North), and quite a lot of Asians who tend to assimilate easily.

Europe, however, is well and truly damn screwed as they have mostly North African single men arriving, and said men are going to fuck their shit all up. Much of Europe is going to be unlivable in a few decades.

Trump is bad. But what’s going to happen to much of Europe will be far worse (and no, I am not talking about, nor do I give a crap about, crime or terrorism).

Tears for true fears

I don’t work there anymore, and now I don’t care, so I can tell this story.

One day when I was working at my last job, I came in to the office to find the intern I’d been mentoring very upset and near tears. By that point we’d moved our desks beside each other so it’s not like I could miss it. “Caroline*,” I said, “what’s going on? You look upset. More than upset.”

“Can we go somewhere else to talk?” she asked me, looking at all nosy people arrayed around us in the semi-open plan office.

For some privacy, we went to a small conference room where she told me that she found out after being assured otherwise previously that she would not be hired fulltime (or at all) for a role where she was currently interning, something she had very much wanted (hell, I wanted it too — she was a great worker and a friend).

Then she looked at me and asked, “Is it for the reason I think it is? I mean, I feel uncomfortable talking about this, but I want to know, ok?”

I knew where she was going but I wanted her to say it. I said, “Why do you think it is?”

“In my department, I’ve noticed that tons of interns come in, but the prettier ones are treated just the worst and never get hired fulltime. I mean, that’s just what I’ve seen. And I know I’m not ugly. At least I don’t think so.”

“No, you’re right,” I said. “You’re awesome. And the opposite of ugly for sure. I thought that it would be enough, that you’re just damn good at everything and smarter than just about anyone. But that department is run by some very fucking bitter old women who despise anyone young and at all attractive. I don’t know why. But yeah, you figured it out, unfortunately. You’re exactly right.”

She looked down and after a moment said, “Oh shit, Mike, I feel both infuriated and embarrassed at the same time!” She started crying a little and being the very physically demonstrative person she was, she grabbed my hand and held it for a bit. “Can we just sit here a while?” she asked.

Of course we could.

She seemed to feel better after that for the rest of the day. The next day she didn’t show up to work, so I texted her, “Everything ok?”

“Yes,” she responded. “Just couldn’t deal today.” I understood perfectly.

After that, she started looking for other opportunities, as they say, and in just a few months she was hired by Google. So screw those bitter old broads who consistently treated her like trash and made her cry. By the way, one of the reasons she was working with me cross-department is to get away from those women (and that we just hit it off and she was interested in what I did). I honestly have no idea what their problem is or why the vendetta, but it’s not uncommon I’ve noticed.

Sure, pretty people experience life on easy mode, most of the time, but there is no life on that mode all the time.

*Not her real name.

The Deplored

No. But it did have something to do with the fact that the Democratic party, for whatever reason — and knowing this full well in advance — nominated one of the most widely-disliked candidates in history, allowed her to run a terrible campaign (where her campaign promoted Donald Trump’s rise for an “easy win”), and then blamed the voters for voting wrong.

Nominate a terrible candidate, get terrible results. That’s where the blame rests.

Guts

One of the reasons that I loved Nathan’s character in Ex Machina is that it was a demonstration (that nearly all liberals and at least half of conservatives will deny) of the fact that you can be insightful, intelligent and brave yet still be really really evil and repugnant and terrible.

In the liberal mind, if you are bad, your every feature is therefore repellent and the worst by dint of some view or action (etc) of yours being atrocious.

But that’s just not the way people work.

When Bin Laden was killed, one of the first viral stories about the event was that he’d supposedly used one of his wives as a human shield.

He didn’t. Bin Laden died unarmed, probably facing the man who killed him. The dude just wasn’t a physical coward. There’s a lot of debate over how much actual combat he saw during the Russian occupation of Afghanistan, but it was definitely “some.” And more to the point, this was a guy who had the option of being incredibly wealthy his entire life. He gave that up to go fight for a cause he believed in. The cause was horrible, and, y’know, fuck him, but he wasn’t gutless.

This Manichean split people wish to impose by speculative and analogical fiat just isn’t real. I knew soldiers who were objectively pretty terrible that I would’ve much rather gone into combat with than the people I was friends with in the army. Derek might say racist things but I know he’d not flinch when it’s time to get shit done. Some of my friends, I suspect they would’ve been crying on the ground. You get the idea.

Bin Laden was a brave man. That he was also terrible are not at all contradictory statements. That sort of (perceived) dichotomy is more often the case than not.

Again, as with Nathan in Ex Machina. He was a sex slavin’, oppressive and misogynist cockbag. But he was brimming with real insight, wicked intelligence, and understood how people worked nearly completely (so much so that he built a few).

Don’t see that often in the movies, how people can be and really are. We prefer to believe that people are bad all the way through in every single characteristic when it’s just not so.

Realized

Just realized that the small IT firm where I’m CTOin’ up a storm will be more than 60% women in a few months as some new hires come onboard.

Now that’s a rarity if there ever was one.