Sys

What bothers me about most analysis is that it never takes into consideration the other possibilities and how outcomes or starting points couldโ€™ve been different, how it never even mentions the cloud of possible state spaces of alternate realities that surround all decisions.

It seems a huge failure to me, especially in those who purport to understand what occurred and why. If you donโ€™t understand what else couldโ€™ve occurred, or what else almost occurred, or what opportunity cost resulted due to what actually occurred, of what value is your analysis?

Donโ€™t tell me itโ€™s hard. I know itโ€™s hard. I do it all the time myself since no one else seems to be that interested in it, so I am intimately familiar with exactly what cognitive effort it takes and how much research. But the alternative is being much stupider. Given the alternative, I prefer the difficult path.

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