I used Bayesian reasoning to determine, given my priors, that I was more likely to be correct using Bayesianism than frequentism.
Day: April 28, 2020, 11:36 PM
Knowing and Showing
I was just looking for something and came upon this tweet of mine, from the day Wuhan shut down.😢 โIt really is one interconnected system. We desperately need governments that can manage all this, or weโre all going down.โ 😢😢😢 https://t.co/52VHjZmW7u
— zeynep tufekci (@zeynep) April 29, 2020
For when people say, as they did with the 2008 crisis, that “no one could have known.” Because it will happen.
She knew. I knew. It was known. Does not take a genius to see the obvious.
Starved
I hope the liberals enjoy their starvation as they discuss how very virtuous they are. Surely that will make it all better. Because you can eat virtue.
That Way, Starvation
What the shit https://t.co/np62MxlaJN
โ covid avoidance squad leader (@aka_dirtgirl) April 28, 2020
Meat shortages will lead to other shortages as people search for replacement products in the market — so rice, beans, lentils, etc.
This path lead to starvation of many, and not that far in the future. But I guess fucking dumb-ass liberals would prefer the starvation future so that they can burnish their deontological bona fides.
It’s all about the virtue signaling for these folks.
Full Ad
Everyone said 25 was the time your brain stopped developing and I never really knew what that meant – but, now that I'm 28, it feels like a real thing. It feels like there was a meaningful shift in my brain at around 25. Do you guys feel like this happened at all?
— Aella (@Aella_Girl) April 28, 2020
No, not at all. I became who I am when I was about 10 and haven’t really changed that much since then. I was a full adult at that point and wish I’d been able to emancipate myself from childhood and school.
Polanded
Can attest this true. https://t.co/4JMhU0B7Cj
— Alexander J.A Cortes (@AJA_Cortes) April 28, 2020
Have not been to Poland, but have been to “poorer” countries that all had much better infrastructure and medical care than the US. We are a society of looters all looting one another. Now we’re witnessing the limitations of that philosophy.
A Crowd
#TheMoreYouKnow pic.twitter.com/W6CW9BTHkt
— Aaron 🥑🚈🌲🏀 (@aceckhouse) April 28, 2020
Both look very, very, very overcrowded to me, just in different ways.
None
What new routine or habit that you picked up in the last month do you think youโll keep doing going forward?
— Anil Dash 😷 (@anildash) April 27, 2020
None. Already a strong introvert. This changed nothing for me.
Ex Film
Scarlett Johansson did her first great acting in Ghost World.
Excellent film, though to most liberals today the work would be a bit jarring because it does not play to their sensibilities, instead portraying lives as messy and complex. Recommended.
Deathen
More than 300,000 likely to die if restrictions are lifted.
That is also my estimate, which I made here. However, I don’t think there is much choice. Either that or the economy utterly melts down and millions die. Could’ve been different but won’t be. Now we have to choose, after no wise choice remains.