Heyo, this chart from Deutsche Bank, probably because they are not Americans, says what you’re not allowed to admit anymore, and that is in the last election the polls were way off in quite a few states:

The quant/STEM religion is that they can never be wrong — that we can only fail them, not that they fail — and that belief is strongest in the US, probably because of how much absurd assclownery of the anti-science Right they must constantly push back against.

But yeah, the polls were wrong, the STEMmy quants were wrong, and here we are.