Flip

So many women write and read sf now that I wonder when the “flip” will occur? That is, when it becomes, “Oh, you read science fiction and fantasy, that woman’s stuff? Only girls like that.”

I think it’s bound to occur given current trends. Won’t change my reading of it or opinion one bit, of course, but will be interesting to see.

Being Right Not Quant

Aye. I love it because people tell me what I do is worthless (synthesizing/systems thinking) because it’s not all quant-y.

But:

1) I make loads of money.

2) I’m right a lot, far more than the “believe science” quant BS.

3) I seem way happier than most of them.

4) I’m right way more often at the most important times, i.e., in unusual situations and tail events.

I win, fuckos. Quantify that.

Waves

Europe Confronts a Third Wave of Infections.

To be clear, when I talk about “no mega-surge of doom” and “no third wave,” I am talking about the US only. That’s where I live and that’s what most affects me, and that’s what I know the most about.

That said, the EU is utterly fucking up their vaccine rollout and is instead relying on lockdowns (which, mostly, don’t work all that well) so I fully expect a significant number of European countries to have a third and even a fourth wave of infections. However, seasonality will help them just as it did last year. It’s just not that warm in most of Europe yet. When the weather improves, I expect cases to level off or fall a lot.

But they bungled the one thing that would halt the pandemic and are now paying the price. Sucks to be them.