Petechia

The below is something I’ve been thinking about a lot:

I don’t believe any of the current narratives actually really work for why some countries experienced drastically different outcomes than others with Covid. Yes, I think masks work, but perhaps only on the margins in many cases. And the same with test and trace.

My pet theory: there are two main factors influencing better outcomes with Covid. The first is past exposure to similar respiratory viruses, ones that didn’t cause mass (or any) sickness, but thereby granted sterilizing immunity to much of the population. This would explain most of Asia and even Australia and New Zealand’s results (much travel from the region both ways). They defeated Covid simply by having a vastly easier battle.

The second important factor is age composition of countries combined with obesity. If your country is old and fat and you lacked any pre-existing immunity, you were gonna have a bad time.

This is the only way I can make sense of any of the data. Sure, lockdowns have some effect (especially early on), yes masks do work, yada yada, but with a highly-transmissible respiratory virus, only on the margins.

I bet I am right, but it’ll never be confirmed because it contradicts existing narratives and doctrine.

Dating Line

Women don’t realize it, because they get so, so many offers (if they are not in the bottom ~5% of attractiveness), but that’s the average man’s experience dating.

Average woman: gets approached 2-3 times a day.

Average man: gets approached 1-2 times in his lifetime, gets rejected constantly starting from childhood.

Quite a difference! It’s no mystery why some men get bitter about it all. It’s an extremely asymmetric and bad experience, for life.

The Tech

I have been thinking that, too. This won’t be the first pandemic we see, and they are likely to become more common. I’d say we’re going to see a worse one (more deadly, more transmissible) within 20 years.

But now we have the tech.

Lockdown Lifers

We need to resist these people, and hard. We can’t let this be (as it’s at risk of becoming) the liberal line and ideology. It’ll be so terribly destructive.

It’s funny that there are people in the replies arguing that Covid absolutism doesn’t exist in the same fucking thread with Covid absolutists. Figure that out.

Appetite for Destruction

It’s been a long-term GOP plan to destroy the USPS because it’s both effective and ubiquitous, and as such the post office has been an exemplar of government working efficiently and cheaply. It appears that the Republicans (and not a few Democrats) are near success there.