Flip

So many women write and read sf now that I wonder when the “flip” will occur? That is, when it becomes, “Oh, you read science fiction and fantasy, that woman’s stuff? Only girls like that.”

I think it’s bound to occur given current trends. Won’t change my reading of it or opinion one bit, of course, but will be interesting to see.

Being Right Not Quant

Aye. I love it because people tell me what I do is worthless (synthesizing/systems thinking) because it’s not all quant-y.

But:

1) I make loads of money.

2) I’m right a lot, far more than the “believe science” quant BS.

3) I seem way happier than most of them.

4) I’m right way more often at the most important times, i.e., in unusual situations and tail events.

I win, fuckos. Quantify that.

Waves

Europe Confronts a Third Wave of Infections.

To be clear, when I talk about “no mega-surge of doom” and “no third wave,” I am talking about the US only. That’s where I live and that’s what most affects me, and that’s what I know the most about.

That said, the EU is utterly fucking up their vaccine rollout and is instead relying on lockdowns (which, mostly, don’t work all that well) so I fully expect a significant number of European countries to have a third and even a fourth wave of infections. However, seasonality will help them just as it did last year. It’s just not that warm in most of Europe yet. When the weather improves, I expect cases to level off or fall a lot.

But they bungled the one thing that would halt the pandemic and are now paying the price. Sucks to be them.

Unthought

This is a great thread, one of the best I’ve seen on Twitter:

“Cancel culture” is a poor name for what’s happening here, but it seems to have stuck. Just like even a small bit of surveillance alters behavior en masse, the idea that some off the cuff, misinterpreted tweet or essay or casual conversation from 10 or 20 years ago might get you fired alters behavior now greatly. How could it not?

Of course, this is the liberal moralist goal, and not some accident. But there is a larger group, who say utterly daft things like, “If you had never said anything untoward, I wouldn’t have to report you to HR and get you fired.” Never mind that the standards about what is “untoward” sometimes change literally week to week, and there is nowhere to consult for what these codes of speech might even be, or when they are due to change yet again.

This “they do not think” is something I noticed and wrote about in regards to the recent copyright “debate.” No one was doing or had done an ounce of cogitation about any of it. Many of them even admitted they knew almost nothing about copyright, its implications, history or manifestation, and yet still had lots of feelings about it all.

And that’s what we’ve become: propelled by propaganda-driven feelings above all else, without even the possibility of considering anything deeply and doing what’s best for society. In fact, if you even suggest thinking about something, you are then branded a “rationalist” and are automatically pronounced wrong and oppressive because you are “denying someone’s feelings.”

Is there any coming back from this? I have my doubts.

Beach Nut

Floridians are out and about and pandemic restrictions have been lifted. Thereโ€™s just one problem: The virus never went away.

And multiple pictures of people on the fucking beach — one of the very safest places you can be. Safer than being indoors with anyone. There are just no journalistic standards anymore for veracity or for even portraying some realistic version of the world.

Meanwhile, we popped into a restaurant yesterday to pick up a carryout order and there were maybe 100 people there, packed into close proximity, all talking loudly with no distancing at all and poor ventilation. A superspreader event in progress, it was. Yet have you ever seen any journalistic organization show a photo of something like that related to the pandemic?

Of course not. Think about why for a moment, and then wonder at what other BS the media attempts to sell you as mattering at all.

Thinking Virally

I’ve seen more than a few stories recently that amounted to, “If absolutely everything about the virus were different, and the variants were the viral equivalent of a spike protein superhero, and vaccines didn’t exist, then there might be a MEGA-SURGE OF DOOOOOOM!”

How do people, organizations, journalists fail so hard? And the thing is, many people listen to them.

Boy Branded

I think I don’t understand? Or perhaps I know too much history to understand?

The Beatles were the prototypical boy band, the precursor and archetype for all the boy bands to follow. This fact has nothing to do with their music either way, IMO.

Judging people by capitalistically-delineated consumer standards I will never understand, however. Mostly these days I judge someone on how kind they are, and if they are systems thinkers or not. The rest is nearly irrelevant.