High risk of autumn Covid surge in Europe despite drop in infections, says WHO.
Ha. They want everyone locked inside their own homes and in their own countries eternally, it appears. That’s the game now, but we don’t have to play.
Day: June 10, 2021, 3:00 PM
Cabbage
money solves so many of your fucking problems and i’m so fucking mad about it
— Alix E. Harrow (@AlixEHarrow) June 9, 2021
Yes it does. I remember what it’s like not having money and I would never, ever want to go back to that.
I have a problem? I throw money at it until it’s solved. Took me a while to get used to doing that but now I do and it fucking rules. But I agree that it should not be this way.
Villein
The government is basically making sure everybody is going to rent forever.
The only possible upside is if we seize control of BlackRock and turn it into a housing bureau https://t.co/8lbG61C0OP
— John Leavitt 🌹 (@LeavittAlone) June 10, 2021
This will not end well. But it will end in neo-feudalism. What will stop it? I can’t see anything on the horizon that will oppose this even in a minor way.
No Tu
The Clinical Epidemiology book is giving me some good ideas for my Risk and the Real World book.
As a friend of mine says about statistics, it’s not intuitive at all. Your intuitions here are often really really wrong!
Face Up
Today, we crossed 300 Million doses administered
Of which nearly 290 Million doses are mRNA vaccines (Moderna, Pfizer)
The safety profile of these vaccines is extraordinary
I can't think of anything else we've given nearly 300M doses of — with so few untoward effects
— Ashish K. Jha, MD, MPH (@ashishkjha) June 5, 2021
Indeed. A just staggering and amazing achievement, equivalent to going to the moon in 1969. Whatever our other failures, and they were many, what a colossal accomplishment.
By the way, we will need much more of this sort of thing to fight climate change and other problems, not loserish degrowth lockdown-lifer nonsense.
Epid
Started a book called Evidence-Based Diagnosis: An Introduction to Clinical Epidemiology tonight. It’s pretty well-written for this sort of work.
It does have a great section on No Treat–Test and Test–Treat Probability Thresholds and how all that functions, which I have never understood — until tonight! So I do recommend it, but it requires a good bit of background knowledge. As do most books I read, so I should probably stop writing that. But as such things go, it’s not too bad. It’s mainly a book (unsurprisingly) about how to avoid deceiving yourself with bad data or bad presuppositions.
Sure as Sunrise
Come on now, who thinks there’s any chance they won’t use lockdowns for climate change purposes as soon as possible? Of course it’s gonna happen.
I expect this in 2 years or so. We should’ve been resisting lockdowns from the jump.
Lock Reasons
On the delta variant (B.1.617.2) in the UK: confirming the remarkable protection from vaccines
Of 126 people admitted to the hospital, 83 were unvaccinated, 28 had 1 dose, and only 3 had 2 doses@SebastianEPayne
This would calculate to ~95% effectiveness pic.twitter.com/EaKUETUXVl— Eric Topol (@EricTopol) June 7, 2021
So…why must we lock down and close the borders forever? Why, exactly?
I don’t know if all ya’ll have not realized it yet, but lockdowns after the first month had nothing to do with controlling the virus and everything to do with controlling the populace and destroying the “wrong” businesses.
Vaccines work. Liberals who advovate for infinite lockdown etc., you are gleefully participating in your own oppression. Which you’re so prudish and boring you probably don’t have enough self-respect to even give a fuck anymore anyway.
Leaking Out
This is correct. There is no “smoking gun” and no direct evidence that a lab leak led to Covid. The evidence is only circumstantial. And sure, it’s certainly possible a hugely-improbable series of events resulted in a virus with no known local animal host to somehow independently become unleashed outside of the lab studying those very viruses, and where known GoF research was being conducted.
But you know, I would not bet that way at all. Not at all.