In the Least

Highlighting this again for the Covid panickers and anti-vaxxers.

This and other evidence is why I am no longer worried about Covid in the least.

Closing Out

Progressives Must Reckon With the School-Closing Catastrophe.

BELIEVE SCIENCE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1111111

While the Spanish flu was especially deadly for children, COVID-19 is just the opposite. By the tail end of spring 2020, it was becoming reasonably clear both that remote education was failing badly and that schools could be reopened safely.

What happened next was truly disturbing: The left by and large rejected this evidence. Progressives were instead carried along by two predominant impulses. One was a zero-COVID policy that refused to weigh the trade-off of any measure that could even plausibly claim to suppress the pandemic. The other was deference to teachers unions, who were organizing to keep schools closed. Those strands combined into a refusal to acknowledge the scale or importance of losing in-person learning with a moralistic insistence that anybody who disagreed was callous about death or motivated by greed.

This, more than anything, is going to be responsible for losing elections for the Dems in 2022 and 2024. Millions of (mostly) women are going to vote for whoever vows to keep schools open and vote against those who kept them shuttered. Or they will just not vote at all. And they’d not be wrong to do that.

What an own goal and a preventable tragedy. Zero Covid was plain fucking stupid and the moralizing over it was even worse.

Too Much Pan

Going to have stop reading Ian Welsh, I guess. He’s gone full Covid panicker, believing you can get reinfected with Covid 900 times and that it inevitably causes Long Covid, etc. None of this based on any evidence, of course. And in this new mythology the vaccines also are useless (increasingly the position of the loonier bits of the left). But who needs evidence when you can scare people?

I’m about as worried about Omicron as I am about the common cold, and that ain’t very damn much. If it weren’t clogging hospitals up due to the unvaxxed I wouldn’t give a crap about it at all.

Time to move on.

Impossible Realities

This is true. In many areas, I’ve seen so many Americans comment on undertakings that other countries do as a matter of course — and that we ourselves have done in the past — and declare it “impossible.” They do not mean “impossible” in the purely political sense, either. It’s more that they cannot imagine a large project can be done at all, by anyone. It’s as if they are incapable of engaging with reality at all, and appear to not really believe that other places exist.

I’m having trouble conveying what I mean here. I’m referring not to just the physical fact of achieving some large project, or the political machinations necessary to put it into place, nor even the financial arrangements required. The dysfunction is something larger, far more deeply sociocultural than these relatively-superficial concerns. It’s what I call in my lighter moments “wallowing in loserdom,” though surely there must be a better word or phrase to capture it. Perhaps “anticipatory defeatism?”

This defeatism can be seen in many places in the American psyche, such as the Fat Acceptance movement’s conviction that it’s impossible to weigh less than a small car, and that attempting to do anything else is utterly futile. It’s present everywhere, in other words. I don’t know how to combat it because a large majority of people do in fact truly and completely believe that projects undertaken routinely elsewhere are impossible in a way that’s deeper than the physical or financial aspects of them.