On rarity of re-infections within 60 days even with variant shifts.
Out of 56,831 cases, only 91 re-infections in shift from Delta to Omicron. So, 0.16%.
Out of 48,829 cases, only 5 re-infections from BA1 to BA2. Even less: 0.01%.
Mostly unvaccinated kids. Vaccinate the kids. https://t.co/m22ZvskTLI
— zeynep tufekci (@zeynep) April 18, 2022
I’ve seen claims of frequent and rapid re-infection. That does not seem supported by the evidence.
They used to doxx literally everyone in the whole city and then deliver the Dox Book to everyone’s house. At the library you could get free access to the Dox Books for other cities. Also if you called (area code) 555-1212 the phone company would dox anyone you asked for.
— Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) April 19, 2022
I don’t think much of Yglesias, but this is absolutely true. And you had to pay a fee to not be entered into the Doxx Book that was delivered to everyone (almost no one did this).
What Russia is attempting to do now in Ukraine is a bad battle plan and will likely fail. Fighting on three fronts with an already half-broken army, now-poor naval support (due to the sinking of the Moskva), and lack of good logistics?
I just cannot see how that is going to work. My prediction is that it will fail, and fail badly.
AIUI military units are generally considered to become combat-ineffective at 10% casualties (possibly in the range 5-15%). https://t.co/UVgtWxoiPa
— Charlie Stross (@cstross) April 19, 2022
This is 100% incorrect. Units are generally considered combat ineffective at 50-69% strength.
This doesn’t mean a unit is incapable of defending itself or even of undertaking certain tasks; it just means it cannot effectively prosecute active combat operations.
Generally, most commanders consider a 33% casualty rate to make a unit combat ineffective FYI. Sometimes, I think non-military people should just not be allowed to write about military topics at all.
every job ever
I was once replaced by 2.5 people after I left https://t.co/kN7qzZHgxA
— human barometer, M.M. (@laurenancona) April 17, 2022
Same. I left a job in 2014, and they hired three people to replace me, as well as giving some of my responsibilities to staff who were already there.
Absolutely no one is saying this. https://t.co/azdVUZkuLu
— Maris Kreizman (@mariskreizman) April 18, 2022
Absolutely tons of people are saying this, and have been for a decade. What’s strange about woke crap is the denial of its existence, and then its rigorous enforcement by the same people. You know an ideology is powerful when so many people emerge from the woodwork to deny it exits. Another example of this is neoliberalism.
About this thread, I don’t think she knows she’s lying because much self-deception is involved in dating, because nearly everyone is a horrible hypocrite and must be to preserve self-respect.
But yeah, she’s lying. And so do most women and most men in this area.
St. Catherine’s Monastery, almost 1,500 years old, stands at the base of Mount Sinai on Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula. Built between 527 and 561 on the orders of Emperor Justinian. pic.twitter.com/25JrPakPs7
— Archaeology & Art (@archaeologyart) April 18, 2022
I have been there. Very cool place.
This chart is misinterpreted by people who do not understand how *attractiveness* works for women pic.twitter.com/ovsn8PqPGS
— roobz 🌙 🌸 (@tishray) April 18, 2022
This thread is 90% lies. Would be nice if it were true, but mostly isn’t. It’s what a lot of women want you to believe, though. Reality is most women are just as superficial and shallow as men, but in slightly different ways (and not the ways this woman is claiming).
Women have greater incentive to pretend that they aren’t shallow, though. But here’s how to prove it yourself: if you’re a guy, make two dating profiles. One that lists your height at 6’2″ and one that lists it as 5’4″. Message a hundred women with each. The 6’2″ profile will get 20-30 responses. The 5’4″ one will be lucky to get even one.
man for months now I've been trying to work through the mechanisms of genocide denial on the left and this is a clearer summary than I'd arrived at https://t.co/hUewGE51MV
— Anjali Dayal 🦒🦒🦒 (@anjalikdayal) April 19, 2022
Agreed, Anjali, that is a good thread. To the modern left, you can only commit genocide if you are a white American or American-supported.
Ergo, the Russians rounding up thousands of Ukrainians, shooting them in the back of the head and dumping them in mass graves is not genocide. However, it is genocide if a white cis person doesn’t use the correct pronouns or misgenders someone.
Very fucking glad I separated myself from those clowns a long time ago.
About the ending of the mask mandate for travel, people say, “What about Long Covid?”
I believe Long Covid is real, but it’s also clear that most of the studies of it are pretty shoddy and the “cognitive decline” studies I’ve seen all have huge data problems, the effects are very small (within realm of natural variation), or are not actually measuring anything.
Also, I think 90% of “Long Covid” is just other pandemic-related effects (isolation, trauma, etc.) and will amount to nothing. I expect Long Covid will present at about the rate of post-viral syndrome for other common infections — which is still a lot of people, to be fair. But it is not nearly the apocalypse predicted.
Also, for most people, “Long Covid” will actually be short or medium Covid, and they will be all better in a year or two. (Still, that sucks. But it is not being disabled for a lifetime.)
If I believed Long Covid was as severe and as common as portrayed I would do nearly anything to avoid it. But most of the panic around it, from what I can tell, is leftist rage that their preferred renovations of society were rejected.
My kids are on a @delta flight right this second and report that the crew made an announcement about the federal judge repealing the mask mandate, and apparently people cheered and immediately tore off their masks.
— Ian Bogost (@ibogost) April 19, 2022
I think the mask-loving libs where mask-wearing became such a significant identity marker really underestimated just how much most people hate wearing masks.
I recognize that they work, but also 100% despise them and will never wear mine again unless I have to or am in a high-risk situation. And I don’t count a plane as that.
Here’s something I think that non-military people don’t understand, and why they missed that the Russian invasion of Ukraine was a near-certainty before it occurred: it’s almost never the case that an army is fielded and not used.
In fact, I can’t think of a single time that has ever occurred. I’d probably have to dig way back into history books to find a single example. And that’s how I knew Ukraine was probably gonna get clobbered. Simple as that.