THIS.

Remember when people would scream at you for using the phrase "partial herd immunity"?

Turns out that even if you don't reach the magical (and theoretical) "herd immunity threshold", you can almost entirely get rid of the disease… https://t.co/zemSp1lY6H

— Noah Smith 🐇 (@Noahpinion) May 3, 2021

Oh yeah, I remember. Epidemiologists who apparently can’t even read textbooks in their own field emerged from the walls screeching about how that was “impossible,” even though that’s the common case for most diseases.

As I said three months ago, when we hit 50% vaxxed, cases are going to fall through the floor. I was right then and it’s clear I’ll be right now.

My exact words from February 8, 2021:

When we hit around 50% vaccination rate, cases will fall dramatically and everyone will be shocked. But you shouldn’t be because I am writing it now. And I will be right again.

Now why is it that I can run a simulation in my brain that’s better than 99%+ of expert prognostications, when they have all those credentials and access to all that computing power? That should not be a thing that can happen.

But here we are.