This is correct. There is no โsmoking gunโ and no direct evidence that a lab leak led to Covid. The evidence is only circumstantial. And sure, itโs certainly possible a hugely-improbable series of events resulted in a virus with no known local animal host to somehow independently become unleashed outside of the lab studying those very viruses, and where known GoF research was being conducted.
But you know, I would not bet that way at all. Not at all.