is it too simplistic to imagine global warming renders Canada and Russia the inevitable eventual superpowers?

— Steve Randy Waldman (@interfluidity) August 22, 2022

That’s not what will happen.

If global warming/climate change is as bad as projected, Russia will essentially be overrun/bought/invaded (probably some combination of all three) by China, and thus has no future. Most Russian people will be displaced and/or genocided by the CCP and most of Russia will become “New China,” with a small Russian rump state remaining in the west of the now-extant territory.

It’ll be much the same for Canada and its surly neighbor to the south, though probably not quite as violent. The US will soft invade Canada and essentially take it over. Seems unlikely now? Just wait. It is the obvious and easy move and that’s usually what occurs. (Not judging it morally — it’s clearly wrong. But realpolitik is never moral.)