100 Years’ Non-War

Remember this when you read Pinkerโ€™s claptrap in Better Angels of Our Nature:

โ€œThe nineteenth century produced a phenomenon unheard of in the annals of Western civilization, namely, a hundred yearsโ€™ peaceโ€”1815-1914. Apart from the Crimean Warโ€”a more or less colonial eventโ€” England, France, Prussia, Austria, Italy, and Russia were engaged in war among each other for altogether only eighteen months. A computation of comparable figures for the two preceding centuries gives an average of sixty to seventy years of major wars in each.โ€

Thatโ€™s Karl Polanyi in The Great Transformation, one of the books I am reading right now. Weโ€™re in an age of relative peace. Will that last? I have my doubts. Weโ€™ve been in those periods before, and then the โ€œunthinkableโ€ was always re-thought.

I wish Pinker were right. I really do. But signs point toโ€ฆnope.