Being wrong

Itโ€™s odd to realize something about yourself that you hadnโ€™t really thought about much.

I was reading this Making Light comment about not ever being allowed to be wrong. I realized this dynamic defined my family and my relationship to it in a lot of ways.

With my dad and to a lesser extent with my grandfather, if you didnโ€™t do it perfectly the first time, you might as well not even try. And that meant you were a failure at it and must be forevermore, of course.

The thing is, my process of learning something is the exact opposite of that. When I do something the first time I am usually absolutely, laughably terrible at it. Iโ€™ve had teachers and instructors describe me on many thing as the โ€œworst Iโ€™ve ever seenโ€ or as โ€œcompletely untrainableโ€ after they experienced my first few attempts.

Thatโ€™s at first. But I learn quickly. Really quickly. And with usually less practice than is required for other people. Usually, after a little while I am better at the thing I am attempting than everyone else, with less time invested.

But at first, observing me with any other beginner side by side, youโ€™d assume I have some sort of major disability.

So not being allowed to ever do something wrong in my family really hindered me, and makes me reluctant to this day to do something new in front of anyone else.

Thatโ€™s why in general if I canโ€™t teach it to myself, I donโ€™t learn it at all.

The only exceptions are math which I believe I do have some sort of actual deficit* in, and dancing as I am wholly uncoordinated and tend to do things like fall down/up stair as my feet are never in sync. No amount of practice or conceptual understanding will or can make me better at those two things, alas.

But everything else, I seem to be the worst one (by far) at something when I first attempt it, so bad that many people have told me that Iโ€™m hopelessly terrible at it and should stop trying.

Then I kick their ass at it handily a few months later.

*Iโ€™ve practiced math over the years for Iโ€™d estimate 10,000-12,000 hours and still canโ€™t do middle-school-level algebra problems reliably, and itโ€™s not because โ€œno one has shown me the right way.โ€ Iโ€™ve been shown every way. It doesnโ€™t matter. My brain is just not wired that way. Math is also extremely uninteresting to me as well, so no great loss there.

No site, no service

Iโ€™ve been doing research for a major personal project that Rose and I will be embarking on at some point soon, and Iโ€™ve been amazed again by how few small businesses have websites or even a Facebook page.

Now, a Facebook page is useless to me* and many others, but having no web presence at all? Why would you do that?

Thatโ€™s like Fedex taking away all its trucks and planes and equipping its delivery people with horse carts and steamboats.

I know why most small businesses fail, I think. Itโ€™s because most people are idiots and ergo most small businesses are run by idiots.

*On my computer, Facebook is blocked altogether, so Facebook and anything tainted by it does not load at all.

Pie Right

The leader of a pirate group has been sentenced to five years in prison.

Meanwhile, the penalties for manslaughter in most states are lower.

โ€œThe California sentencing schedule for manslaughter requires the judge to sentence a defendant to 36 months in prison unless mitigating or aggravating circumstances are present. With mitigating circumstances the sentenced is reduced to 24 months and for aggravating circumstances it is increased to 48 months.โ€

That corporations โ€“ and in my view completely evil ones at that โ€“ have complete control of our legislative system should be beyond the doubt of any sane person.

I

It is a bit annoying something that youโ€™ve been shouting from the rooftops for years (and thinking about for decades) is finally taken up by someone with โ€œcredentials,โ€ only then is it taken seriously.

Not that I have anything against credentials. They are more valuable and useful than not, and as social signals are even more valuable (though far more counterproductive used in that way). Principally, they serve to sort out the complete crackpots at probably a bit better than the rate of chance. And that is valuable.

I donโ€™t have the stamina nor the interest in pursuing any sort of degree, as the things I can learn from books I can learn much more quickly if I just read them myself and donโ€™t pay $1,200 and a quarter or semester of time for something I can spend 25 hours and $0 learning.

Whatโ€™s that, most people canโ€™t do that?

Good thing I am not most people, then.

Well in the end it doesnโ€™t bother me that much that Iโ€™ll never get credit for the ideas that I had well before the academics who will get the discovery thereof attributed to them, as I have made my mark (and will continue to do so) in the Real School of the market, where it doesnโ€™t matter what credentials you have โ€“ all that matters is your P&L.

And at that I have a fucking PhD.

If this post sounds a tad bitter, I am really not. The ideas arenโ€™t that revolutionary (in fact they are obvious), I just had them and took them seriously before I saw anyone else do so. No one stole them from me โ€“ like most discoveries, they were in the air. The difference is that I sniffed the air sooner, and in fact when I first started writing about these ideas contra accepted economics, my contentions were considered laughable. Now they are becoming mainstream.

Shoddy scholarship

Iโ€™ll be glad when this shoddy article quits being cited, about how men and women just canโ€™t be friends.

Fucking Christ, only cloistered academic geeks can credibly produce and cite bullshit like this as they spend so little time in the real world.

Every other normal person in the world ever has had a female or male friend to which they arenโ€™t attracted โ€“ and so what if you are attracted? Does that make the person any less of a friend somehow?

Attraction doesnโ€™t mean action, and it doesnโ€™t even mean the desire for action.

At least one commenter utterly destroys the article.

The SciAm summary hugely misrepresents the published data.

For instance: "The results suggest large gender differences in how men and women experience opposite-sex friendships. Men were much more attracted to their female friends than vice versa."

Um, no. On a nine point self-reported scale men and women on average rated their attraction between 3.9 and 4.9. Though men were very slightly more attracted. Similarly:

"[M]ales on the younger end of the spectrum were four times more likely than females to report romantic attraction as a benefit of opposite-sex friendships, whereas those on the older end of the spectrum were ten times more likely to do the same."

Uh, yes. Because merely 10 percent of middle-aged men and 1 percent of middle-aged women listed "the possibility of romance" as a benefit of same sex friendship, the men were technically 10 times more likely. But the real headline (which I find much more surprising) is that 90 percent of middle aged men and 99 percent of middle aged women did NOT find "possibility of romance" to be a benefit of friendship. So treat this article with some caution.

Itโ€™s amazing how results can be twisted to fit the societal narrative, even when it makes no sense at all or flatly contradicts them.

A more valid interpretation of the results would be, โ€œMost normal men and women can be just friends, and do so all the time.โ€

Once there was a Hushpuppy

I highly recommend Beasts of the Southern Wild.

Itโ€™s a rare film that takes the perspective of a child and treats it as a serious and valid viewpoint. Children after all are not automatons and many of them are smarter and more observant than most of the adults around them (I certainly was).

And itโ€™s an even rarer film โ€“ even now โ€“ when that child whose viewpoint is adopted is not a boy.

Quvenzhanรฉ Wallis as Hushpuppy is amazing and fierce and yet vulnerable and precocious in a realistic way in the film. She really dominates the screen much as Elle Fanning did in Super 8.

And the film itself blends elements of magical realism with harsh reality in a way Iโ€™ve not seen before.

We live in times just as mythical and myth-filled as any. I donโ€™t know if thatโ€™s the lesson the work was trying to impart, but thatโ€™s what I took from it. Very much worth watching.

Goat

If I negotiated my salary at work like Obama and the Democrats negotiate for things, Iโ€™d be living under an overpass eating banana peels and discarded fast food wrappers.

Itโ€™s a general principle in negotiating that you at first ask for much more than you think you are likely to get โ€“ rather than as Obama does to make massive concessions from the beginning in the hopes of bringing your opponent to you.

This never works.

For instance, the last time I was up for salary review I did something completely absurd โ€“ I demanded a 40 percent salary increase.

I am pretty good at my job and am a bit underpaid, so I can get away with things like that. Now I knew I’d not get 40 percent. But I knew if I didn’t fight for it, I’d get nothing — which is exactly what a lot of people did get.

In fact because my company did not have a great year last year mostly due to acquisition expenses being much larger than expected, most people did not get a raise above inflation nor a large bonus.

However because of my negotiating (and being in a position to do so) I got a raise above 9 percent and my bonus was larger than the year prior. In addition, I got a promotion I didnโ€™t even ask for I think mostly due to my boldness.

Thatโ€™s how you fucking begin negotiating.

What the hell Obama and team are doing I have no idea, but Iโ€™d use words like โ€œsnivelingโ€ and โ€œpusillanimousโ€ and โ€œspinelessโ€ rather than anything to do with how one should negotiate.