Inclination in Declination

Historically speaking, there is a major stock market downturn every 3-5 years. Though timing the market is impossible in the strictest sense, the best time to buy a lot of stock is when itโ€™s cheap.

When people say market timing is impossible, they are largely wrong by the way. Market timing is impossible if you are stupid, at least in the sense that I do it and mean it.

So Iโ€™m preparing now for the coming crash. When itโ€™s down 20% or more, Iโ€™ll buy. This is likely to occur very soon, I think. Lots of hot money sloshing around now doing highly preposterous things.

Iโ€™m loath to give stock advice these days but the wait-for-crash is a good strategy for anyone who doesnโ€™t need money in a 5+ year time frame.

By the way here is the periodicity on average of various declines.

Buy things when they are cheap. Itโ€™s hard to go wrong with that strategy in any area of life.

And oh yeah, Iโ€™d stay out of fossil fuel stocks.

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