This was the whole problem with Clinton all along that tons of people including me were shouting from the rooftops:

Run an unelectable candidate, turns out she doesn’t get elected.

Imagine that. (From here.)

The fact that I saw Trump/Pence bumper stickers and signs at a 100:1 ratio to Clinton/whoever that guy is was it turns out a pretty good, uh, sign of what was to come.

Never have I seen a nominee so loathed by so many that save for a few fanatics even her own party could barely muster an iota of excitement about her candidacy.

I do live in a reddish state, but in a very Dem area of the state (my county went Clinton 58%+ and the neighboring one went Clinton nearly 79%).

Look at this ass-covering from Nate Silver (whom I normally like). This is just wrong (I am excluding the few polls taken on election day, and I assume “2014” means “2016”):

Unfortunately, presidential elections are won on the state level not the national. It doesn’t matter at all by how much Hillary won the popular vote. It matters which states she won or did not.

And double nope.

Come on, just admit you were wrong. Almost everyone was…the polls were just bad this year, among other issues.

For instance most polls had Trump and/or Clinton up 1 or narrowly losing by 1 in Ohio:

Here’s what actually happened:

A 9 point spread. That’s so far out of the margin of error that it also moved to Canada. So much for that whole business. Shit, Nate, don’t sweat it.

My prelim analysis.

Obviously, the polls were very wrong. But why?

From what I can tell, Trump get a much larger percentage of the Republican woman vote than expected, and (likely) slightly higher than Romney in 2012. Misogyny at least among this group didn’t tarnish him at all.

And he got a larger percentage of the Latino vote than Romney. Not surprising — legal immigrants often absolutely loathe illegal ones.

My private supposition: enough Bernie voters moved to Trump to also tip the balance.

The narrative will be just that rural enraged white males made the difference. But I’m guessing that the above factors I mentioned are the real difference.

Don’t get me wrong — Trump winning is a terrible tragedy for our nation. But it’s one that was completely avoidable. The DNC (in the immediate, not systemic sense) is as much to blame as the Trump voters is what I am saying.

Unfortunately, being able to make fun of the clueless Clinton sycophants will not make up for the calamity that will be the next four years.

I should have stuck to my guns about the election when I said this — turns out that even I listened to the elites late in the process more than I should have.

There’s also going to be a whole lot of secret Trump voters who will not tell anyone they are intending to vote for Trump — even pollsters — yet will do so anyway. This is why many of the polls even right up to the election will be wrong.

Damn, me of 8 months ago was much more correct than me of two days ago. Ha. Here’s what I wrote then in full:

Donald Trump can actually beat Hillary in November: Stubborn pundits still refuse to accept it.

Can and will; Clinton will not win in the general any of the Southern states where she was strongest in the primaries, whereas Donald Trump is likely to win most of the Northeast states where he is strongest.

Clinton is a bad pick in general, but a particularly bad pick against Trump where her election and campaign weaknesses are imperfectly arrayed against Trump’s very strengths.

I didn’t and don’t support Clinton or Sanders (or Trump), but Sanders would’ve been far more likely to defeat Trump in the kind of matchup we’re moving towards.

And when Trump inevitably gets a landslide against Clinton due to her weakness in Southern states, the pundits will all be completely stunned, etc.

Also don’t forget just how rabid the hatred is for Clinton — many people who don’t vote are too young to remember the 90s, but I was there and haven’t forgotten. There’s a whole gaggle of people who will show up solely to vote against Clinton, whereas most liberals won’t bother about Trump.

There’s also going to be a whole lot of secret Trump voters who will not tell anyone they are intending to vote for Trump — even pollsters — yet will do so anyway. This is why many of the polls even right up to the election will be wrong.

Get used to saying “President Trump,” is what I’m telling you.

If Trump wins — and that looks unavoidable as I type this — I hope the elites and the pundits realize that they brought this on themselves.

First, they brought this anguish by running such a terrible candidate as Hillary Clinton. Neoliberalism is dying to be replaced with what we aren’t sure yet. That’s still up in the air, but the sickness and rot of that system of repression is irreversibly embedded now, with no cure and now no palliative. I thought the initial death spasms would be post-Hillary, but turns out I was wrong.

Second, they did this to themselves and all of us by telling large swathes of the population that they are irrelevant and the jobs shipped away and the towns destroyed were “progress” and that actually “free trade” has only salubrious effects. Even now you hear this litany of BS and Trump winning (probably) is America’s inchoate, self-destructive yawp of negation.

Third, in ignoring the consequences of their own disconnection from the day-to-day life of Americans they’ve insulated themselves from the idea that the pursuit of more money and more power is not what actually matters to most people.

The neoliberal consensus is done, though its expiration will take decades. That we’ll probably replace it with something far worse doesn’t mean it’s not over.

Still think Sanders would’ve bested Trump pretty easily, or even Elizabeth Warren.

I say this with a little gloating, I must admit — but mostly horror and trepidation: Democrats, this is what you get when you run such a irredeemably bad candidate as Clinton and then tell everyone they should worship the ground she walks on.