If you think the Coronavirus death numbers are exaggerated, please look at this @jshkatz chart. https://t.co/cfz2hX5eJ5 pic.twitter.com/NZYu1I2ofj

— Margot Sanger-Katz (@sangerkatz) April 10, 2020

Whole thread is worth reading. I also suspect deaths are being undercounted (though not as severely) in the rest of the US.

I also think through the summer we’ll think we’ve contained the pandemic — then Covid-19 will come roaring back in the fall, just as with regular flu. That should be fun, and that’s what my 300,000 (US) death estimate is based on. Economy will be toast. And not good toast. Burnt generic grocery store bread toast.