I'm sure others are looking at this, and we can't do a full accounting until all the state returns are verified, but so far it looks the weighted averages of state polls were off almost entirely in the same direction. The polling data are simple weighted avgs from 538. pic.twitter.com/r070psBKJy
โ ๐๐ Stefan Wojcik ๐๐ (@stefanjwojcik) November 7, 2020
BELIEVE SCIENCE! And trust the spreadsheet jockeys (say the spreadsheet jockeys).
Of course we know that what the โexpertsโ in this case, poorly-trained quants, have to say is complete bullshit and has little to do with science, but the official position is that itโs science, so thatโs why I attack it so fiercely.
In reality, itโs not worth a warm bucket of Trump sweat as this graph shows.