I was thinking about why people who are supposedly better than math at me, and thus “smarter,” have trouble understanding the Monty Hall Problem. And though I did not get quite to the heart of why they have issues with this rather trivial problem, part of it is that I think to be good at math as most people define it, you have to ignore the real world almost totally.

I’ve never been able to do that. I need to deeply understand why a concept applies to the real world to be able to do anything at all with it.

And the Monty Hall Problem is all about the how and why of having more information then changes the odds. Almost all of the time, the mathematically inclined have no clue at all what any of their equations mean, imply, or could possibly be used for.

I find this very odd indeed.

The Lame-Duck Vaccine. The Trump administration spurred development of a vaccine; the Biden administration has to persuade Americans to take it.

Ideally (and I know this would never happen), we’d create a federal law with a mandatory one year sentence for refusing vaccination. Can’t have these utter dumbasses running around unvaccinated.

I’ve lost all patience with propaganda victims. People who believe masks don’t work, or that Covid-19 is some sort of hoax or “just the flu.” Just total idiots. Of course masks work; the science is clear on that. There’s a reason surgeons wear them in the OR and nurses wear them in general. And Covid-19 is far deadlier than the flu and worse by far, even among the non-elderly. Also very clear science on that.

And I can understand why liberals are telling people not to see their families over the holidays. But the thing is, people are tired of lockdown and social distancing. At most that was ever only going to last a few months before people snapped, and we’ve reached that point. Extended draconian lockdowns were never likely to work in the US and they did not. Could’ve told you that (and did) back in March.

Another prediction, then. We’ll have at least two working vaccines by next year, and about half of Americans, like the total fucking assclown dipshits they are, will refuse to take either of them.

And we’ll of course still have the troupe of monkey-libs screeching about “stay inside forever” and “don’t go out or visit your family” too, no different at all than now. Their tune will not change in 2021 and probably not in 2022, either. For them, as with the MAGAts, this clownworld will become their way of life, their identity — because the virus will never totally disappear, given its range of hosts and the anti-vaxxers, so these libs will become a weird new otaku class, except far more numerous.

Done with poor thinkers and propaganda victims on both sides. Mental defectives, be gone.