I expect a slight rise, too; no third wave, no surge, though. How large a rise depends on vax rate and behavior going into spring.
After a year of being pummeled by grim statistics and scolded for wanting human contact, many Americans feel a long-promised deliverance is at hand.
Glad I am not the only one who got very fucking tired of when someone mentioned they missed being with people or hugs, some lib emerged from the bushes wearing five masks screeching about killing Gramma. Damn that got old.