I keep thinking how unpredictable the attack on Ukraine appeared until the moment it happened, how unpredictable the Russian troop advance appears as we're in the midst of it and how both arcs will seem obvious in retrospect — a year, 10, 50 years from now.

— Richard Goldstein (@RichardGold68) February 25, 2022

Are you smoking crack? “Unpredictable?” This is another example of the “WHO COULD HAVE KNOWN?????” sophistry that gets trotted out every time something completely obvious happens that the “smart” people miss.