Eco

When I’m galactic overlord, you’ll only be able to get a tattoo if you’ve given me the gift of at least 10 solar systems with useful ecologies or technologies.

Any others who besmirch their skin with unauthorized tattoos must work in the thorium mines for 10,000 years. Choose wisely.

Pyrrhic

All I have to say is I hope I never win anything like Russia is winning in Ukraine. If I were to win like that in the stock market, I’d be a billion in the red, my wallet would be napalmed to hell, and I’d owe some warlord in Zimbabwe for a 700% APR loan.

Controlled

I made the mistake of visiting Ian Welsh’s Twitter again. Can’t help myself. His claims that Russia is “winning” don’t match the actual…anything. Like, how war works, the evidence, the views of anyone else or even a casual glance at reality.

Russia has managed to take and barely hold about 20% of Ukraine’s territory and that hasn’t changed much in two years. See for yourself.

What’s odd is that so many people believe Welsh and propagandists like him when you can just go look for yourself. It’s no secret (and impossible to conceal) which areas of Ukraine are under Russian control and which are not. And mostly, the war has been a bloody trading of territory back and forth with some slight Russian advances while Russia experiences a 10 to 1 KIA ratio compared to Ukrainian forces.

That is not in fact “winning.” And I’d say that even if I were a Russia supporter. They are trading about 1,000 to 3,000 dead for every kilometer they gain. That ain’t no form of winning I am aware of. Just by some simple math (and I know war does not work linearly this way), to take all of Ukraine Russia would have to expend about 25% of its entire population as KIAs. Yeah, winning, sure. Wackypants motherfuckers.

Purp

Serious question: Does Russia think bombing a children’s hospital is going to make the Ukrainian people resist less fiercely, to just roll over and go with the invasion? I mean, what is the purpose there? It doesn’t even help Russia win. Quite the opposite, in fact.

I didn’t want to believe that there is just something sadistic in Russian culture in general, but appears I was wrong. About time to send NATO troops in I think, so we’re not fighting China and Russia in 2032. Nearly anything is worth it to avoid that fate.

Future Pain

Modern warfare is so much worse than it’s ever been. I’ve been studying all of this a lot, because we’ll be fighting this way soon. With China, and perhaps with Russia too.

I’ve have some thoughts on all of this later, because I believe that most analysts are wrong about how this business with drones and such will play out. But still gathering all my notions, knowledge, intuitions and observations about it all. Then I’ll hit you with some truth. And it’ll probably be the opposite of what Ian Welsh says, because he is full of bullshit.