Being wrong

On my old blog โ€“ which alas does not exist any longer โ€“ I asserted accurately that even during the Great Recession crime was continuing to fall and would keep doing just that.

I was attacked (for some reason) mostly by a group of people from one website that had a vested interest in believing that crime would rise during the Great Recession. The details are unimportant, and would distract. The point is that they had a narrative they wished to push and reality did not matter to them even though normally they and I would have been natural allies.

Well, I was right.

I donโ€™t understand the narrative pushers. Yeah, everyone is biased but I try to temper this with updating my beliefs with the evidence as often as humanly possible.

As Iโ€™ve mentioned many times before and surely will do so again, I get evicted from many groups (or self-evict) because I refuse to just go along.

It means that often I hold no beliefs or partially incorrect beliefs about something for longer than those who just โ€œbuy in.โ€ But it also means I really do know more than the average fish swimming through water whose response to, โ€œThe water sure is cold todayโ€ is โ€œWhat the hell is water?โ€

It took me several years in the 1990s to accept global warming either way. But I wasnโ€™t one of those knuckle-draggers going around screaming about how the scientists were attempting to shake down the NSF for all that sweet, sweet grant money.

I just waited till I understood, and learned.

Rafe Colburn at rc3.org has a phrase as his blog tagline that Iโ€™ve always liked. โ€œStrong opinions, weakly held.โ€ Thatโ€™s how I try to arrange my mind. I donโ€™t care about tribal beliefs, which is what informs the majority of most peopleโ€™s beliefs. But I do care about being able to have actual, real evidence for what I believe.

I have no tribe, nor do I want to be part of one. Ever.

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