New Shine

This from Daniel Lemire is a good response to the Ceglowski essay that I also wrote about recently. It takes a different tack as compared to my response but also makes some points related to mine.

Cegล‚owski would keep the technology as it isโ€ฆ โ€œWhy do we need to obsess on artificial intelligence, when weโ€™re wasting so much natural intelligence?โ€

Technology is fine today. Let us work hard to keep it as it is.

I could not disagree more. We urgently need to improve our technology. The web as it stands today wonโ€™t be good enough in 30 years

Robotics and the speed with which this and AI as well as AI-approximate technologies will come to dominate society are going to utterly surprise people like Ceglowski.

Things that are inevitable within ~100 years if tech society continues:

Extensive DNA modification/improvement.
Ubiquitous robotics and AI.
No more livestockโ€“ all meat lab-created.
Artificial life.
Artificial wombs.
Children with 3+ parents (already happening!) or no parents.
Neural implants.

Iโ€™d bet every cent I have on at least those seven things happening. They are baked in. What else, though? There will be more. People like Ceglowski canโ€™t even imagine those things, just like people in 1920 couldnโ€™t imagine the internet or ICBMs.

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