Riser

I have a tool that tracks prices on Amazon over time. It embeds a graph right on the page for me so it’s very easy to see. Any imported item you can observe the price rise as tariff expectations occur and then tariffs actually hit:

This is just a decorative item, but this huge price increase is and will be affecting everything else as well. Since January, the product has increased from $120 to more than $180. That happening across most of the economy is going to be very bad for everyone.

Opp Cost

NIMBYism is one of the worst of these. It’s reduced potential GDP likely by 30%. I’d guess more like 50%.

Crack Country

I’ve not seen such insanity since watching a grown-ass man steal his own kids’ clothes to pawn and buy crack in North Florida.

And yes, that is real. So is the entire country being destroyed before our eyes now.

Gadget

I Invented a Popular Kitchen Gadget. Tariffs Will Kill My Business.

And this will be happening a lot too; about 20% of the businesses in the US are unsustainable with current tariffs. If the tariff carnage continues this shuttering of previously-viable concerns will have vast follow-on effects. Depression, of course, but more than that. Somewhere between 40-60% of restaurants and service businesses will close. Entire neighborhoods will empty out as people cannot pay their mortgages any longer. Tent cities will sprout up across the land. Crime will rise and many areas will fall into chaos.

Every time massive tariffs have been enacted in the past, a depression has occurred. This time will be no different.

If you have favorite restaurants, visit them in the next few months. They probably will not be there in a year. And after that, you might not have any money anyway.

Ress

I’m glad I was old enough to talk to my great-grandmother on what living through the Great Depression was like. She died in 1986 and was born between 1900-1903 (can’t remember for sure).

My grandparents recalled the tail end of it, but my great-gran remembered the whole thing as she was in her twenties when it began. I was pretty young when we discussed it, but I do have a clear memory of her saying that her family went from living in a three-bedroom house to being forced to downgrade to what was basically a converted shed. She also said that food became unaffordable and for several years they were reduced to eating one small meal a day.

A lot of you aren’t going to need Ozempic anymore with what’s on the way. And will be doing a reprise of the life of my great-gran. Hope you like your converted sheds or refrigerator boxes by the side of the road, because to be perfectly frank that’s where many of you reading this will end up in the next few years.

Get ready now to avoid that fate later.