Rets and Cons

The belief that everyone knew Trump was going to win was retconned while simultaneously the “polls were wrong” (which was actually the case) was branded a conspiracy theory. I don’t completely understand why the various panjandrums thought this necessary but there was a serious and concerted effort to defend the terribly wrong 2016 polls from Ohio, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania — even though it was obvious that many of the so-called reputable polls conducted in those places were often off by 10+ points.

And when I say “serious effort,” there were hundreds of columns defending the polling, Nate Silver basically went nuts for an entire year, and fake scientists came out of the woodwork claiming absolute nonsense about statistics and polling.

I guess this was just the official narrative and narrative-makers being defended and defending themselves after the fact?

Crossing the Jordan

Jordan Peterson is not a draw to me. What’s not facile and obvious of what he says is moronic. However, I think this explains his appeal quite well:

Men who pay any attention are told they are the cause of all problems while the same people claim that men have no problems of their own. Furthermore, they are treated by nearly everyone — including those they are most attracted to — as disposable and worthless most of the time. The average man’s experience in the world is pretty terrible. Peterson at least acknowledges that and proposes some way to live with the knowledge that most people see you as a tool for their own ends.

I can see why that’s appealing to men who are otherwise completely invisible except to be told how contemptible they are.

JDAMmit

JDAM bomb launch against Russian positions by Su-27 fighter. Date not mentioned.

Strange days, with JDAMs on a Flanker. I also saw Storm Shadows on an Su-25 the other day.

To those not familiar with military crap, both of these are like putting a Honda transmission in a Ford and having it function correctly. Those weapons are just not at all designed to work with Eastern Bloc-originated planes in any way, shape or form.

Wealth

There’s not that much wealth in the world.

This fundamentally misunderstands how wealth works and what it is based on. It’s just all kinds of wrong, like most things Noah Smith writes about economics. It’s interesting that when he writes about science, politics or policy outside of economics he’s usually correct. But about economics (his actual profession), it’s always just wildly incorrect assertions and ideas.

That is, though, how the entire mainstream econ field operates so no surprise I guess.

Glut

It seems the Fat Acceptance movement might have simmered down a lot, yeah? I wonder if it was the Ozempic. That drug and similar ones made it clear that a lot of people were just eating too much and lying about it. Hard to keep up the fiction of “starvation mode” and other such bullshit with semaglutides out there.

But also, the FA cultural moment most likely just passed. Movements that predicate themselves on failure and apathy tend not to endure all that long, after all. They self-extinguish. And good riddance, too.

Rapt

Design progression of SpaceX’s Raptor engine:

That is amazing. And for those who say Elon’s companies don’t produce anything real…well, you’re just wayyyyyyyy wrong. You let the fact that Elon is a clown in a lot of ways lead you to think absurd things. Which, I must point out, also makes you a clown. Here is more info about the engines above.

The Raptor engine evolution reminds me of the quote variously attributed to Mark Twain, Benjamin Franklin and others that goes, “If I’d had more time, I would’ve written a shorter letter.” The amount of design-hours to produce the Raptor 3 is hard to imagine.

Periphery

This woman had an early life much like mine.

Once I got into middle school, I had gone from โ€œbizarre kid who doesnโ€™t get invited to birthday parties that oftenโ€ to โ€œthe most unpopular girl in school.โ€ Iโ€™m not exaggerating here. I was laughed at in the hallways by kids I barely knew, things were thrown at me, you name it.

I was the most unpopular boy in school during middle school. Everyone hated me. Even my previous friends nearly all abandoned me. I was just too weird, too poor, and too much of a misfit — especially for very conformist rural North Florida. I was beaten up nearly every day, my belongings stolen and even the teachers made fun of me openly. My own family members refused to acknowledge me in school if they weren’t also mocking me.

It was hell. If you want to know why I tend to be hyper-vigilant and remain at the periphery of any group, that is exactly why. Amanda Marcotte and the other middle-school-popular kids who tend to perpetrate this sort of bullying all claim it’s not a big deal (especially for boys). In fact, I believe she claimed it doesn’t even happen, particularly to boys.

But it was a big deal and it does happen. Luckily, it got better and so did I. I am fine now. But at the time, though I was never suicidal, I didn’t care if I lived or died. Which is why I won some fights I shouldn’t have and at least got a reputation for being tough (though still very much despised). It’s certainly a lot easier to prevail in a fight when you don’t care what happens to you.

I lived, made it through, and emerged into full awesomeness as an adult. Meanwhile, many of my peers who tormented me are now dead* or look like they are.

*No, I did not kill them.

90 None

Women could solve 90% of their dating problems by being more direct and more revealing of what they actually want instead of relying on hints and obfuscations. Similarly, men could solve 90% of theirs by improving their hygiene, social skills and fashion sense.

But will either camp do any of this? Of course not.

Meatwaves

The favored Russian tactic now is recon by force across the vast front line, sending small teams to probe Ukrainian dug-in areas. When that team gets obliterated, they send in a larger probe with fresh meat which they force the survivors of the first raid to join. It carries on this way till they all die, which usually happens quickly enough.

Sometimes, though, this tactic gains the Russians a few hundred meters. Maybe one out of ten times. And that’s how the Russians are very slowly and bloodily taking more Ukrainian territory. No casualty evacuations, no retreats. No Russian soldier even attempts to surrender. In fact, many Russian troops commit suicide once they are too injured to walk. Surrender is pointless; once the Russians are exchanged as POWs, they are punished severely and then returned to the front lines for another suicide mission.

The above is what Ian Welsh et alia see as winning. This is why I will never understand Welsh’s and other people’s Putin worship. It is a psychotic way to fight a war. All wars are evil, but the Russian tactics are on another level of moral repugnance. And yes, this is all true. The unedited videos are available for anyone to watch.

Putin worshipers should be forced to go fight for the Russian side. Perhaps they will renounce their clownery if they manage to survive a meat wave or two.