Ax Me

I am not sure I believe in The Axiom of Choice. It just seems like something decided upon because it makes the universe easier, not because it’s true.

There doesn’t have to be a “true” here anyway. Mathematics is just a model, and if the model works well enough, who cares? But the AoC just seems fishy to me, even though I understand why it’s needed. It’s a dirty hack that works when required. That’s it.

Homemove

According to a new survey from Harris Poll for Bloomberg, roughly 45% of people ages 18 to 29 are living at home with their families โ€” the highest figure since the 1940s. More than 60% of Gen-Zers and millennials reported moving back home in the past two years, according to the poll, often because of financial challenges.

This handily refutes the Noah Smith (et al.) assertion that things are great, rent is not too damn high, and all the other easily-disproven mendacities economists like to trot out against all evidence. This simple fact is that nearly no one moves back home if they can afford to do anything else.

But evidence matters to almost no one. I’ve spent half my life realizing that over and over again, and then being saddened by the realization.

Nat D

Saw Natalie Merchant live earlier and she was excellent. She’s still very much got it and her live version of “Carnival” was brilliant; far better than the album version.

If you have a chance, buy a ticket. It wasn’t quite sold out where we were I don’t think, so you might be able to grab some still. It was a really nice night: great entertainment paired with spending it with a lovely woman. Can’t get any better than that.

Standards Issue

AITA for telling my co-worker she should either lower her standards or stop complaining about being single?

Since women largely control the dating market, many of them set absurd standards that they themselves aren’t anywhere close to meeting. Many will thus rightly die alone. Sometimes it might happen that a woman who is at best a 3 in personality and looks bags an 8 to 10 dude, but it don’t happen often. And yet many women expect this and will settle for nothing less.

Ah well, the cats need cat ladies. Works for me.

Rent Rant Cant

How not to be fooled by viral charts.

While I like Noah Smith often, he likes to tell spectacularly unconvincing lies about how rent has not gone up much. As anyone alive knows, especially since 2000 or so, rent has shot up enormously. He uses some chart indexed to 1985 to make it look better than it is. However, if you index to 2000 it looks much different and worse:

Funny there’s a chart that’s essentially a half-truth in a column about misleading charts. In the chart above, it’s pretty clear that rent has increased far faster than household income since 2000 (which is the correct measure here, not median personal income, as household income includes every member of a family who lives under the same roof, including spouses and their dependents).

Now I’m wicked bad at math, but rental costs are 79% higher vs. household income than they were in 2000. And that’s a pretty large fucking difference. The divergence would be even greater if you ran the numbers for desirable cities where the good jobs are and not just for every city (which is what the above chart shows). I’ve not done it, but I’m guessing it’d be in the range of 100%-300% higher depending on desirable city since 2000.

Also, the data above only goes to the beginning of 2022 for rent CPI. If it extended into 2023 it’d look far worse as rent has shot up enormously in the last year nearly everywhere. (Anecdotally, we moved and now we’re paying 44% more in rent than we were last year for a worse house with a much smaller yard in a fairly-comparable urban area. This is now the norm.)

It seems part of the professional code of every economist is to lie about rent and inflation. I have no idea why but it is oddly pervasive — even when the data is just right there. No economist can be trusted here and Noah is one of the very worst.

Gap Years

Why do people on the internet say that people with large age gaps โ€œhave nothing in common?

This whole discourse is so demented. It’s just completely a wrong, harmful way to think about how humans relate to one another.

There are some nods to “life experience” in the thread — which varies hugely with the person and is just not very generalizable — but a lot of it is about what pop culture references one knows invalidating the relationship, e.g.:

To me that’s one of the really fun things about having friends of different ages, even in non-romantic relationships (but the same goes if they turn romantic). When I was mentoring an intern at a previous job, we had a great time discussing relics from the 1980s that she’d never heard of, and her trying to stump me with new slang and music that I usually had heard of (but sometimes not). Our age gap actually helped us relate because we were both smart, curious people.

Of course, this “age gap” nonsense is not really about protection from harm. Has nothing to do with that at all, in any way. It’s about enforcing proper assortative mating, and mostly detrimental even to the people it is allegedly helping. It’s actually better — yes, even for women — if you date and have life experiences with people of a wide variety of ages (as long as they are not minors for romantic relationships). It’ll make you into a more whole, better, more capable and fully-realized person.

When people from other countries come to the US, they are often shocked by how weirdly age-segregated it is here. And it sure is. Just such an oddball thing when you think about it.

Burning Time

What in the Jesus of Christ is so hard about putting in a ticket??

Fuck yes. I’ve seen users spend just absolute loads of time doing all sorts of wasteful shit just to avoid spending 30 seconds putting in a ticket. It makes no sense.

It reminds me of people telling me how smartphones are “more convenient” and then watch them burn 45 minutes on something I can do on a real computer in 15-20 seconds. How are people’s brains so jacked up?