War

Little Teapot

Chill Annoying, War

The claim that somehow Russia had to invade Ukraine because of NATO also comes down to the notion that Ukraine does not exist.

Anyone who believes that Russia invaded Ukraine due to NATO is just spouting Russian propaganda. And sounding foolish the whole damn time.

Vladimir Putin gives us no reason to believe that he fears a NATO invasion. If Russian leaders feared such an eventuality, the last thing they would have done would have been to undertake a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, as they did in 2022. That amounts to sacrificing most of their army inside a country that is not a NATO member. If Russians feared a NATO invasion, they would not have created a situation in which Finland and Sweden join NATO, which they have done.

Pro tip: If you want to understand global geopolitics, start with not being an unpaid Russian shill. That’s not enough of course, but it’s a good starting place.

Win to Lose

Chill Clowns, War

Ian Welsh: OMG WINNING SO HARD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!111111

Everyone who is not a goddamn confirmed idiot: Wow, that’s a colossal waste of money and people to achieve nearly nothing.

Neville

Chill Evil, Prediction, War

Donโ€™t sell out Ukraine like they did Czechoslovakia in 1938.

It didnโ€™t work out in 1938. It wonโ€™t work now.

Appeasing genocide loving dictators never works.

— Margo Gontar (@margogontar.bsky.social) February 14, 2025 at 7:03 AM

Margo is right. Selling out Ukraine now means we’ll be fighting Russia in Germany in ~2030. That’s almost a guarantee. Poland and the Baltics will be done for as well.

The III

Chill Prediction, War

WWIII has already started. I mean, obviously. Well, if you have a brain attached.

Future historians will mark the date of its commencement as of February 20, 2014, the first Russian invasion of Ukraine. I’m guessing it’ll end somewhere around 2040, unless we nuke ourselves all to hell. Then it could be sooner.

Lin

Chill Prediction, War

Indeed. What the russians heard loud and clear: Iโ€™m here today to directly and unambiguously express that you are free to invade anywhere in Europe at your own convenience and timetable.

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— Maria Popova ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@popovaprof.bsky.social) February 12, 2025 at 4:03 PM

The Baltics, Poland and also likely Germany are totally fucked now. I’d guess Russia will push into Berlin sometime between 2030-2032.

TM Footage

Chill War, WTF

Dual POV footage of a Ukrainian FPV failing to detonate outside a Russian bunker, and a RU soldier who films the same unexploded FPV from inside. A Ukrainian heavy bomber drone is then sent in to drop an anti tank mine on the same bunker and unexploded FPV.

No gore or death in this one, but this war has just provided some insane footage.

FYI the Russians almost certainly evacced that bunker before the anti-tank mine hit it — that’s why the footage exists. There was probably a 20-45 minute delay before that TM-62 got dumped on it.