But Russia is WINNNNNNNNNNNNNING! Ian Welsh said so!
Fuck, man, I prefer the real truth. If Russia actually were winning I’d be the first to say it here. But unlike most, and all of the Putin pud-pullers, I want to know as best I can what’s really happening. I want Ukraine to prevail, yes, but I also want to understand what’s occurring so I can plan for that true, actual future.
I have no interest in going down this stupid Ian Welsh path: The US is bad, therefore Russia is winning! That ain’t no kind of thinking.
Right now, Russia has a slight advantage because they are sending meat waves with old equipment in probing attacks and are losing up to 3,000 people per kilometer they gain. Russia is vast with a large population, but not that wealthy, and will only be able to sustain such a thing for a limited time.
And that’s what’s really happening.