Month: April 2026

Strikeout

Chill War

I’ve watched probably 5,000 drone strike videos. What does that make me?

Drones are not the only future of warfare, but they are a large part of its future.

Novovirus

Chill Oof

I agree with Noah Smith that the real risk of AI is bioterrorism, not any nebulous superintelligence. It allows people who prior to AI would not have possessed enough skills nor knowledge to create and iterate on novel viral lines that could prove quite deadly.

Within the next decade, I’d put the odds at about 15% that someone designs and releases some virus or bacterium with AI that kills more than 100,000 people.

If I cared to do such a thing with AI, I could already do it. And I’m not nearly the smartest person around. Just depending on people not feeling like doing such a thing is not a great defense.

Chill Links

Ukraine Is Europe’s War Now.

$2500 Samsung TV is an advertising billboard, there is no opt-out.

Toronto police seize 'SMS blasters,' a cybercrime weapon never before seen in Canada.

Private sales of defense systems are needed to protect against drones.

To gauge some of the cost of the Muslim invasion of Britain to the British people, we should look at the illegal immigrants to Britain, who make a numerically small contribution to the 12 million immigrants living in Britain today, but who play a crucial role in the Islamisation of Britain.

Russia’s Shadow Airlift: How the Kremlin Weaponised Commercial Aviation.

Trump fires the entire National Science Board.

Flickr: The First and Last Great Photo Platform. All the great platforms are now dead. Nothing replaced them.

20,000 Job cuts at Meta, Microsoft raise concern that AI-driven labor crisis is here. Oh, it’s here. Econs will lie about it for years more, but it’s happening.

Rate Error

Chill Regular-ass Post

How likely would 4 pregnancy tests would be false negative?

Simple math problem that even I can do — with a caveat!

If each test has a 5% false negative rate, about 1 in 160,000.

If each test has a 1% false negative rate, about 1 in 100 million.

However, that caveat is that in real life errors are frequently correlated. So if there is something hormonally odd going on, you could still be pregnant and all simple tests could return negative every time.

Sunk

Chill Regular-ass Post

I’d sink every invading migrant boat storming the shores of the UK if I could with no qualms and no regret.

Eventually, they’d stop. The incentive structure would be high negative then.

Chill Links

How a Renaissance gambling dispute spawned probability theory.

If America’s So Rich, How’d It Get So Sad?

The Lifecycle of an Apocalypse.

The ‘unregistered Americans’: because of their parents, they do not exist.

We still don’t have a more precise value for “Big G.” Thought this article was about me, as I am also known as “Big G.” 😉

Ukraine’s Drone-Hunting An-28 Turboprop Is Now Launching Interceptor Drones.

There Will Be a Scientific Theory of Deep Learning.

Why not Venus?

Jet Fuel Shortages Could Make Travel a ‘Total Mess’ This Summer.

Truckers Kill More Than 5,000 People a Year. Regulators Are at Fault.