Interesting that Zeynep has come to the same conclusion that I did, that over the long term Zero Covid absolutism is going to really fuck over countries like Australia and New Zealand.

That’s something I realized a few months ago when it seemed they didn’t really give a rip about vaccinating anyone as they’d “contained” the virus. Australia is still only 1.9% fully vaccinated, which is a fucking joke. If the more-transmissible variants ever get loose there, which is quite likely, those are going to rip through the place like a tornado through a trailer.

Zero Covid is a fantasy version of how the real world works. I wish it weren’t, but in most places it can’t work, and in the places it does work now it will eventually fail.