Donald Trump can actually beat Hillary in November: Stubborn pundits still refuse to accept it.
Can and will; Clinton will not win in the general any of the Southern states where she was strongest in the primaries, whereas Donald Trump is likely to win most of the Northeast states where he is strongest.
Clinton is a bad pick in general, but a particularly bad pick against Trump where her election and campaign weaknesses are imperfectly arrayed against Trump’s very strengths.
I didn’t and don’t support Clinton or Sanders (or Trump), but Sanders would’ve been far more likely to defeat Trump in the kind of matchup we’re moving towards.
And when Trump inevitably gets a landslide against Clinton due to her weakness in Southern states, the pundits will all be completely stunned, etc.
Also don’t forget just how rabid the hatred is for Clinton — many people who don’t vote are too young to remember the 90s, but I was there and haven’t forgotten. There’s a whole gaggle of people who will show up solely to vote against Clinton, whereas most liberals won’t bother about Trump.
There’s also going to be a whole lot of secret Trump voters who will not tell anyone they are intending to vote for Trump — even pollsters — yet will do so anyway. This is why many of the polls even right up to the election will be wrong.
Get used to saying “President Trump,” is what I’m telling you.
So basically you’re saying voter suppression laws will work very well and people who hate Trump will stay home in larger numbers (or not have their vote counted) than people who hate Clinton.
It’s possible that people will not admit they’re voting for Trump. However a large part of Trump’s appeal is that he puts all of this subtext and implication into incoherent text. He doesn’t use a mosquito alarm to talk about things; he uses an audio feedback screech. He’s appealing precisely because he’s not playing from Lee Atwater’s playbook.
Yeah, I think Trump-haters won’t vote or will indeed have their votes suppressed while Clinton-haters will mostly show up and be counted.
It doesn’t take all that many people not to admit voting for Trump who actually vote for him to swing the election. Presidential elections lately have been close. It might be as few as 1 or 2 percent necessary to skew the polls and have Clinton’s victory “assured,” but not turn out that way.
As conditions worsen in the real world — separate from the pundit fantasy-world — elections are only going to get stranger.
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