Putin It Out There

Peter Frank on X: "Intuition sagt mir, irgendwas passiert in Russland die nรคchsten 2-3 Monate. Es ist immer klarer, dass - Russland diesen Krieg nicht gewinnt; - die Ukraine diesen Krieg nach Russland bringt & Infrastruktur dezimiert; - wie horrend die Kosten fรผr die Wirtschaft sind. 1/2" / X

Agreed. Russia is losing now. Not badly, but it is getting worse and Ukraine is undertaking more and more successful deep strikes on valuable Russian infrastructure far behind the front lines.

This will only go on so long until Putin is forced to…something. Uncertain what but probably won’t be great.

Strikeout

I’ve watched probably 5,000 drone strike videos. What does that make me?

Drones are not the only future of warfare, but they are a large part of its future.

Rolling Over

For the last few years of the Russia-Ukraine War, Ukraine was merely not losing.

Now, it seems to be actually winning. This puts the Baltics under greater threat, not less — Putin feeling cornered and trapped means he is likely to lash out elsewhere. And it’d take a lot less to roll over Latvia, say, than it would’ve Ukraine.

A very dangerous time now.

Nuke Plan

SightBringer on X: "โšก๏ธEurope is going to stop being a serious civilization within this generation and almost nobody is willing to say it in those terms. Europe is actually ending as the thing it has been for the last five hundred years. The continent that produced the scientific revolution, the" / X

We do. In the UK, Islamist takeover could be as soon as 15-20 years. France’s would take longer, maybe 20-40 years. But that’s going to very bad having two Islamic nuclear-armed nations in Europe proper. And unfortimately, Islamic dominance in those countries is now nearly a fait accompli of their current trajectory.

We’ve made mistakes, but Western Europe has fucked up beyond all reason.

You Ran

Declaring that America “lost” because a dude you don’t like is in political power is pretty weak and pitiful, as well as intellectually bankrupt.

The US achieved its objectives in the Iran war. Israel achieved some of theirs (which were not the same as the US goals). This is and would be true no matter who is president.

Oafish

The actual (not the press-focused) military objectives were achieved in the Iran war. Noah is just wrong, as are most about this. The press claims incorrectly that Iran still has a nuke program. No, it’s gone. That Iran still wants to build nukes is all that remains, and I guess that’s what the press is talking about (strangely), but the facilities are destroyed. Most if not all of the centrifuges are in tiny pieces strewn over the landscape.

Claiming the US lost the war is like believing that because Germany still exists we lost WWII. It’s just oafish stupidity and not understanding what even the actual military objectives of the conflict were.

Strait Up

Well, yeah, the Strait of Hormuz has extremely strong currents which makes it difficult to effectively mine. This is not some failure of Iran. This is just a natural feature of a strait like that. No one knows where those mines are now and probably never will.

Can Ask

(1) Wilfred Reilly (@wil_da_beast630) / X

Framing what happened as an American defeat — as the press seems to be doing — is fucking insane.

All major objectives were achieved. Iran’s military capabilities were obliterated. Its nuclear program was set back by around a decade. By the by, the US does not give a crap about the Strait of Hormuz. That’s 1970s thinking. Oil just isn’t as important as it used to be, for a variety of reasons.

What happened in Iran was not great, but the actual objectives were met. That’s all you can ask for.

Now Mission

(1) Wilfred Reilly (@wil_da_beast630) / X

Exactly. Regime change was a hope only, and not super realistic given the realities on the ground.

The real purpose of the war for the US was to degrade Iran’s capability for creating a nuclear weapon. They were getting close to that and now they are probably 6-10 years away again. That was the real mission and it is complete. That is why the effort is being wound down.

War won, war lost, whatever. That’s a pointless discussion mostly related to clueless commentators bloviating. Was the mission achieved? And the answer is that it was. For now.

Leave NATO

Previously, I was mildly against the US withdrawing from NATO. Now, I think the US should exit the alliance posthaste.

Mainly this has to do with the Europeans not allowing us to use our own bases in their countries for actions that would benefit them more than they would us. But also, it developed further after seeing the disdain they expressed over our rescuing our aviator and preventing his capture by IRGC thugs.

Meanwhile, the Europoors have allowed feral third worlders to exert increasing control of their societies, assaulting and raping at will, while doing nothing to prevent this. Hell, they even welcome and promote this dystopia, and seem perfectly willing to sacrifice their women and girls to hordes of Islamic migrants for “equity.”

So, yes, the US should leave NATO. Let Europe sink or swim. They’ll sink, of course. It’s already set.

The only drawback is when Russia takes most of Europe, it’ll be worse for us. But maybe we should just let that happen regardless.