Rosa

Model’s name is Rosa. This was taken in Seattle, photographer unknown. But I lived there so I recognize the skyline. I like that she looks genuinely happy. And has beautiful red hair.

Just a warning (which I won’t put on every post like this): If you click “Show More” below, you will see someone naked.


Statistical Drivel

One of the things I like about Hacker News is that it’s just full of the most massive tardbiscuits around, but ones who are still relatively literate. The reason I like this unfortunate state of affairs is that it shows that performing well on de facto tests of verbal and mathematical ability does not actually mean there is any wisdom present.

Much like ChatGPT et al. Aella (I think) said that most people are ChatGPT most of the time. I believe she is correct. “Smart” people mostly in fact are not all that smart.

What are the Olympics Shooting Competitors Wearing On Their Faces?

On Ancient Stars (and a Thought on SETI).

Robot Dog With Gun Turret For Hunting Aerial Drones Being Tested By Army.

The Third Atomic Bomb.

Giant, Sparkly Clams Hide the Most Efficient Solar Panels Ever Found.

The Benefits of Ozempic Are Multiplying. Thereโ€™s mounting evidence that GLP-1 drugs have health benefits beyond diabetes and weight loss, for conditions ranging from addiction to Parkinsonโ€™sโ€”and scientists are evolving theories of why.

How tariffs on China could help the world.

Dear relentless salesperson….

Harris and Walz seize on joyful message in contrast to darker Trump themes. This is the right approach.

Tony Soprano and Robert Nozick.

The Battle Over Institutions. A challenge to democracyโ€™s infrastructure.

The Inside Story of the University of the Artsโ€™s Stunning Collapse.

Emily White was dragged for predicting the future of music streaming 12 years ago. Where is she now? It never, ever pays to be right. Except in the stock market.

10 reasons why AI may be overrated. Very overrated.

Strike

A surprise Ukrainian attack into Russiaโ€™s Kursk region raised questions about whether Kyivโ€™s forces violated U.S. restrictions on the use of donated fighting vehicles.

Idiotic restrictions. Without the ability to strike equipment staging areas and troop rally points behind the lines, Ukraine has no hope. I am glad Ukraine violated these pointless constraints (if they did). It’s hard to fight the enemy with one hand tied behind your back.

I think this incursion is from a military perspective strategically pointless, but from a political perspective is probably useful.

Rets and Cons

The belief that everyone knew Trump was going to win was retconned while simultaneously the “polls were wrong” (which was actually the case) was branded a conspiracy theory. I don’t completely understand why the various panjandrums thought this necessary but there was a serious and concerted effort to defend the terribly wrong 2016 polls from Ohio, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania — even though it was obvious that many of the so-called reputable polls conducted in those places were often off by 10+ points.

And when I say “serious effort,” there were hundreds of columns defending the polling, Nate Silver basically went nuts for an entire year, and fake scientists came out of the woodwork claiming absolute nonsense about statistics and polling.

I guess this was just the official narrative and narrative-makers being defended and defending themselves after the fact?

Advance

Kursk: Russia says it halted a Ukrainian incursion into its territory. Evidence suggests it hasnโ€™t.

Oh, I have no doubt that Russia halted the advance of Ukrainian troops. This was a risky, bold move against a foe with a lot of resources and no concern with human life. But I doubt that they’ve driven the Ukrainians back yet.

The whole point of this is to make the Russians feel vulnerable to attack. Anyone who went on this raid knew it was a suicide mission and most of them will stay in place until they’re dead. Against a determined enemy operating with that mindset, the Russians will find them to be hard to kill and hard to displace.

Was this worth it for the Ukrainian side? If I were a commander, I don’t think I would’ve done it. Losing hundreds of people in something doomed to fail when soldiers are already in short supply seems not a great idea. But I’m also not that PR-focused. And the PR side of demonstrating that Russia cannot operate with impunity and is itself vulnerable is worth something — both as an advertisement for more aid and to sow doubt in Russia itself.

Doors

I wonder how much of the Chinese tech we’ve all bought (including the government and military) is backdoored? Probably a lot of it. Guess we’ll find out when the invasion of Taiwan happens.

That should be fun.

More Americans are moving into flood and fire hot spots.

Dell makes new round of layoffs while it looks to unlock modern AI. HR apparently overwhelmed by attempt to sack 12.5k people in one day.

Florida’s Biggest Insurer Says It Needs to Increase Rates by 93 Percent.

Congress Wants To Let Private Companies Own The Law.

HP plans its most aggressive shift of production away from China.

The Democrats’ new sunny vibes.

Indonesiaโ€™s tiny hobbits descended from even smaller ancestors.A 700,000-year-old humerus suggests small hominins have a long history on Flores.

Health Officials Urge Doctors to Address IUD Insertion Pain.

CrowdStrike Faces a Potential Tsunami of Lawsuits. Only the Fine Print Can Save It, Experts Say.