Platforms

Exactly. The PC never had a chance in hell of dying. Itโ€™s the only place where productivity is possible, and probably will be for another ~25 years or more.

What happened is just what I said and thought would happen: those who are too dumb to use a computer, or didnโ€™t have time to learn enough to properly use a PC or whatever the reason, went out and bought tablets or a smartphone or some other limited consumption device. At the same time, PCs started lasting much longer as both quality improved and chip improvement on the consumer side slowed quite a lot, making the average PC last 5+ years instead of 2-3.

These two factors reduced the market for a while, as was obvious would occur.

Further prediction: PCs will be where the money is (enteprise/creatives spend so so so much money compared to consumer), so as Jeff points out companies will eventually be forced back to the PC as thatโ€™s where they can pull in cash by the truckload. There is evidence of this in the market already. Expect more in the future.