Neither can humans with any degree of reliability.

This criticism is crap, but you probably won’t understand why it’s worthless garbage unless you have a pretty firm grounding in philosophy and have thought about this sort of thing for many years.

To not write an entire screed — which is my wont — this clownery is either trivially true in a way that also applies to humans (you can’t get causality from correlation alone), or false if it’s meant in the sense that LLMs cannot do causal reasoning, because of course causal reasoning is possible once you supply assumptions and models. Which LLMs have access to and make use of.

Do people actually think? At all? Do they even try? I see no evidence of that. In that sense, LLMs already best 99.9999% of humans I routinely encounter.

Agreed. There is far more dignity in going to a brothel. There, you must interact with the real world and an actual human being; the safety of the screen is not present. There is only reality. Onlyfans, though, is the misdirection of desire into self-destructive ends that have no mitigating factor of messy human interaction. OF is nearly pure subversion of the erotic into wasted energy that would be better-directed to or for nearly anything else.

A brothel exists as a neutral artifact of craving that cannot then be satisfied elsewhere. And due to its realized existence in the physical is a negotiation with the world as is. However, OF is the corruption of the real, a simulacrum that leads to only more yearning, lesser fulfillment, less affection with no final satisfaction. OnlyFans rather acts as yawning void that consumes any possibility of eroticism and true fervor in a sea of tributes to Moloch enacted via 1990s video game mechanics.

If we don’t make an attempt to conquer the fucking galaxy, humanity will be extinct within 10,000 years.

We are ever in need a new frontier. We’re just one of those species.

The left is way too concerned with who people “really” are. As if they know anyone’s secret soul. As if anyone could. The immanence of someone’s being is of no concern to me — no, I care about what they do.

Indeed, the one salient fact that can be known about vermin like Decarlos Brown is what he does. Nothing else really matters.

At one time, these beliefs about the unicorn-like inner beings of all humans were probably noble, had some benefit to give to society and the world. Now, though, the left uses these as empty platitudes to enforce a doctrine that inflicts enormous societal costs on all the rest of us. And of course, the expenses of this suicidal faux-empathy fall disproportionately on women. In some ways I believe this is by design. However, it’s mostly the left wanting to appear to be on the side of good and having no real idea what that should look like.

It’s not actually good, though, to allow young women to be murdered when that could easily be prevented. It’s not helping anyone to tolerate crime-ridden neighborhoods beset by human predators. It’s not a benefit to society to jail those who enforce the tenets of civilization on mass transit.

This suicidal empathy is going to get us all killed in the end.

Do most people not realize they are now captured minds fully running the optimization algorithms of other people who care not a bit about them? It’s moved beyond propaganda into possession. We’ve summoned demons from the nether realm and allowed them to irrupt into our most sacred place and rampage with no control and no restraint.

What are we thinking? We aren’t; not any longer.

the unstated mental model of the ai bubble conversation seems to be that once the bubble pops, we go back to the world as it once was, butlerian jihad by financial overextension. but the honest reporting is that everything, everything, is already and forever changed

— Jake Eaton (@jkeatn) November 29, 2025

As a wise friend once advised in a different context: there is no going back. If you know nothing else about how history and the evolution thereof functions you must know that any idea of return to the past is an invalid one and impossible due to the nature of humanity and reality itself. Retreating there cannot be done and attempting to do so is a fool’s errand that leads only to ruin.

Railroads didn’t disappear when that bubble popped. Neither did the internet in 2001. AI and all its implications, complications and dislocations will not either when the AI bubble deflates in 2027 or 2028. Quite the opposite — AI will get vastly cheaper as all those data centers are liquidated and it thus will be used far more.

There is no return. The past’s waves ripple outward forever and cannot be un-waved nor thoughts un-thought. Indeed, as an also very-wise cat once observed: what has been seen cannot be un-seen.

We’re all no longer human; we’re something else now. When someone had the first thought of the dichotomy of the nous and the numinous and attempted to reconcile and unify them, we transitioned to another state of being.

The ghost in the machine dissipated and we in turn then became more machine than human, more mechanism than moiety.

I’ve always been well off the beaten path politically. Though my views have changed some since then, on a forum I used to be a regular on back in the early 2000s the exact same dude around six months apart called me an “An unhinged loony leftist” and a “Prissy never-been-laid Republican conformist.” Because those sentiments were so apposite and opposite, I took a screenshot of the post but can’t find it anymore. Was probably on some CD-R that got corrupted before I had a real NAS.

There’s no tribe I am or ever will be a part of. I just can’t bend my thinking that way. I’ll always be at the edge, wrestling with the demons of complex thoughts and real-world exigencies. For me, it’s the only way to live.

Tattoos are the overblown exhibition of a coward who cannot define their being endogenously and must curse us all with their lack of internal self-representation. The failure of culture results in the preponderance of garish external displays of inner vacuity.

Existence of probability.

“Exist” is always too heavily loaded in these discussions. And it’s always a hoot when STEM-y people do philosophy. What a mess.

I don’t feel like writing a ton tonight, but as one of the commenters points out, math is just a model of the world. It and probability is “real” in the sense that it relates well to something phenomenologically experiential.

And as usual, no one in that discussion understands quantum mechanics at all or what it means, like the doof talking about Geiger counters. Completely wrong. We could know the entire history and state of every bit of everything in the universe and we still could not predict when a bit of uranium would alpha decay and trigger the counter.

And if you then base some other event on that alpha decay the Geiger counter registers, you’d have something operating that even knowing the entire prior history of the universe would not have been able to reveal to anyone would occur. In other words, all empirically successful quantum interpretations are probabilistic. And this is not (as it is with classical probability) due to lack of knowledge. That’s the moronic (and wrong) interpretation. The probabilistic nature of QM and reality is a fundamental aspect of the universe itself.

So, is probability real? No, it’s a fucking model. Just like nearly anything else useful in science and math.