No Doom

I donโ€™t quite agree that a slight rise in cases is a surge, but this article has some good news.

Carefully done studies on large populations show a very low rate of reinfection for this coronavirus: less than 1 percent.

Iโ€™d been wondering about the reinfection rate, so that answers that. Itโ€™s about what I expected as it matches other similar viruses. We donโ€™t yet know the infection immunity period for this one, but Iโ€™d expect it in people with normal immune systems to be about two years, which the article also mentions.

Itโ€™s hard to know exactly how long, because the virus is so new, but for SARS (the related coronavirus that almost sparked a pandemic in 2003), people who were infected retained an antibody response, and thus protection, for an average of two years.

This is great, too:

And it gets better: Yesterday, the CDC released real-life data showing that, just two weeks after even a single dose, the two mRNA vaccines were 80 percent effective in preventing infection. The effectiveness rose to 90 percent after the second, booster dose. People in the study were routinely tested regardless of whether they had symptoms, so we know that vaccines prevented not just symptomatic illnessโ€”the vaccine-efficacy rate reported in the trialsโ€”but any infection.

Remember when โ€œexpertsโ€ were lining the fuck up to say that was impossible? Where yaโ€™ll at now?

Anyway, none of this will matter to the lockdown lifers and lockdown lovers (two distnct, but related, groups) so we must work very hard to resist them.

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